12.07.2024, 16:31
The UN predicted a peak in the world's population
Source: OREANDA-NEWS
OREANDA-NEWS The world's population will peak by 2084. Experts from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN) announced this forecast in their report.
Analysts predict that in 60 years the world's population will number 10.3 billion people. By the end of the century, however, the peak values will fall again — by 200 million people. Thus, the forecast for 2022 was slightly smoothed out — previously it was claimed that the number of inhabitants of the Earth would not decrease until 2100. "The demographic landscape has changed significantly. In some countries, the birth rate is now even lower than previously thought, and we are also seeing a slightly faster decline in some regions with high fertility," the Financial Times (FT) quotes the UN Deputy Secretary General for Economic and Social Affairs Li Junhua.
Women around the world have begun to give birth to an average of one less child than in 1990, and this trend is only increasing, according to the organization's report. Even today, the live birth rate is characterized as "ultra-low". Citizens prefer to have fewer children as the country gets richer: as a result, China's population may halve by the end of the century — from 1.4 billion to 639 million people.
At the same time, there may be 21 percent fewer Europeans by this time — no other continent will lose so much population by the new century. At the same time, by 2079, there may be more elderly residents than minors. "If medicine and medical science cannot cope with the diseases of the elderly, we will have many incapacitated elderly people and fewer and fewer young people who could take care of them, and this will become very difficult," says Charles Goodhart, professor at the London School of Economics.
In March, the decline in the number of inhabitants of the planet was predicted by the scientific journal Lancet. The population will decline in the coming decades, and for the first time since the plague pandemic broke out in the XIV century.
Analysts predict that in 60 years the world's population will number 10.3 billion people. By the end of the century, however, the peak values will fall again — by 200 million people. Thus, the forecast for 2022 was slightly smoothed out — previously it was claimed that the number of inhabitants of the Earth would not decrease until 2100. "The demographic landscape has changed significantly. In some countries, the birth rate is now even lower than previously thought, and we are also seeing a slightly faster decline in some regions with high fertility," the Financial Times (FT) quotes the UN Deputy Secretary General for Economic and Social Affairs Li Junhua.
Women around the world have begun to give birth to an average of one less child than in 1990, and this trend is only increasing, according to the organization's report. Even today, the live birth rate is characterized as "ultra-low". Citizens prefer to have fewer children as the country gets richer: as a result, China's population may halve by the end of the century — from 1.4 billion to 639 million people.
At the same time, there may be 21 percent fewer Europeans by this time — no other continent will lose so much population by the new century. At the same time, by 2079, there may be more elderly residents than minors. "If medicine and medical science cannot cope with the diseases of the elderly, we will have many incapacitated elderly people and fewer and fewer young people who could take care of them, and this will become very difficult," says Charles Goodhart, professor at the London School of Economics.
In March, the decline in the number of inhabitants of the planet was predicted by the scientific journal Lancet. The population will decline in the coming decades, and for the first time since the plague pandemic broke out in the XIV century.
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