OREANDA-NEWS The market volume of Russian operating systems increased by 57% by the end of 2023, to 11.3 billion rubles, according to a statement from the consulting company Strategy Partners.

"The actual growth of the market turned out to be higher than the initial forecasts," the company said in a statement. - In the forecast scenario, an increase of 44% was expected, to 10.4 billion rubles."

According to Strategy Partners, the outpacing growth of the market is due, in particular, to the fact that medium and large companies (b2b segment), which are not subject to regulatory requirements for mandatory transition, have become more active in Russian operating systems. The share of this segment reached 10% of the total Russian OS market last year.

"This factor will become an additional driver of Russian OS sales growth in the medium term," the company believes.

Strategy Partners also believes that the growth of the market is facilitated by increasing the technological maturity of Russian operating systems and gaining experience in their large-scale implementation.

According to the company, by the end of the year, 97% of the Russian OS market is occupied by three software developers - Astra Group with a share of 76%, Basalt SPO (11%) and Redsoft (10%).

In 2023, Strategy Partners predicted that by the end of the year, the volume of this market in the Russian Federation will amount to 21.9 billion rubles. At the same time, the share of Russian OS was estimated at 47%. The company also predicted that by 2030 the market volume will grow to 72 billion rubles, and the share of Russian operating systems will increase to 89%.

According to Strategy Partners, by 2030, the penetration rate of Russian OS in the state segment and the segment of state-owned companies will be close to 100%. In the commercial segment, this figure will be less than 50%, which will preserve the potential for developers to further increase the level of penetration after 2030.

Operating systems account for about 25% of the total volume of the infrastructure software market (in addition to the OS segment, it includes segments of DBMS, virtualization systems, backup data storage, etc.). Its volume by the end of 2022 amounted to about 77 billion rubles and, according to Strategy Partners forecast, should grow by the end of 2023 to approximately 100 billion rubles (the company has not yet conducted a market assessment - IF). It is expected that by 2030, the volume of the infrastructure software market will grow to 270 billion. At the same time, the share of Russian developers' products in this market will increase to about 90% (243 billion rubles) in 2030 from 51% in 2023 (51 billion rubles).