OREANDA-NEWS. August 03, 2016.  Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CAR) today reported results for its second quarter ended June 30, 2016.  For the quarter, the Company reported revenue of \\$2.2 billion and net income of \\$36 million, or \\$0.38 per share.  The Company reported Adjusted EBITDA of \\$204 million and adjusted net income of \\$60 million, or \\$0.63 per share.

"Our second quarter results reflect a significant improvement in our pricing in the Americas as well as volume growth throughout the world," said Larry De Shon, Avis Budget Group Chief Executive Officer.  "The third quarter has started on a positive note, with pricing in the Americas increasing year-over-year, while our worldwide fleet costs remain within our expectations.  In addition, we recently launched Avis Now, giving customers total control of their rental car experience through our mobile app, including choice of vehicle at the time of rental."

Executive Summary
Revenue increased 3% in the second quarter primarily due to a 3% increase in rental days.  Second quarter net income was \\$36 million, and Adjusted EBITDA was \\$204 million.  Results benefited from increased rental volumes Company-wide and increased pricing in the Americas, offset by higher per-unit fleet costs.

Business Segment Discussion
The following discussion of second quarter operating results focuses on revenue and Adjusted EBITDA for each of our segments. Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA are expressed in millions.

Americas

 2016 2015% change
Revenue\\$1,593  \\$1,556 2%
Adjusted EBITDA\\$163  \\$178 (8%)

Revenue grew 2% primarily due to a 2% increase in volume.  Pricing increased 1% in the quarter despite a 1% negative impact from currency exchange rates.  Per-unit fleet costs increased 6%, to \\$314 per month.  Adjusted EBITDA decreased 8% in the second quarter to \\$163 million, due to higher per-unit fleet costs and increased marketing costs and commissions, partially offset by higher volumes, higher pricing and higher fleet utilization.

International

 2016 2015% change
Revenue\\$650  \\$617 5%
Adjusted EBITDA\\$57  \\$61 (7%)

Revenue increased 5% due to an 8% increase in volume, partially offset by a 4% decline in pricing, including a 1% negative impact from exchange rates.  Per-unit fleet costs declined 1%, to \\$215 per month.  Adjusted EBITDA decreased \\$4 million, due to lower pricing and increased marketing costs, partially offset by increased rental volumes and a \\$3 million positive impact from currency exchange rates.

Other Items

Avis Now - The Company introduced new technology designed to provide customers with increased flexibility, ease and control over their car rental experience through the Avis mobile app.  Avis Now allows customers to manage virtually all aspects of their car rental through their smartphone, including choosing exactly which specific vehicle they want at the time of rental.  More than 145,000 customers have already downloaded the new app.

Share Repurchases - The Company repurchased 3.5 million shares of its common stock, or 4% of its shares outstanding, at a cost of \\$100 million in the second quarter.  In the first half of 2016, the Company repurchased approximately 6.5 million shares of its common stock, or 7% of its shares outstanding, at a cost of \\$180 million.

Debt Refinancing - In May, the Company extended the maturity date for \\$825 million of its \\$970 million of existing corporate term loan borrowings by three years, from March 2019 to March 2022.

Outlook
The Company today updated its estimates for full-year 2016 results, including estimates of Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted earnings per share. The Company now expects:

  • Full-year 2016 revenue will increase 3% to 5%, to \\$8.75 to \\$8.9 billion.  Movements in currency exchange rates are currently expected to negatively impact revenue growth by approximately \\$50 million.  In the Company's Americas segment, rental days are expected to increase 2% to 3%, and pricing is now expected to be largely unchanged, with no significant impact from currency exchange rates.  In the Company's International  segment, revenue is expected to grow 5% to 8%, including a 2% negative impact from currency exchange rates.
     
  • Total Company per-unit fleet costs are expected to be \\$285 to \\$290 per month in 2016, compared to \\$277 in 2015.  In the Company's Americas segment, per-unit fleet costs are expected to be \\$313 to \\$316 per month in 2016, an increase of 5% to 6% compared to \\$297 in 2015.  In the Company's International segment, per-unit fleet costs are expected to be \\$223 to \\$227 per month in 2016, compared to \\$229 per month in 2015, which represents a decrease of 1% to 3%, including a 1% reduction from currency exchange rates.
     
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be \\$850 million to \\$900 million, including an approximately \\$20 million negative year-over-year impact from movements in currency exchange rates.
     
  • Interest expense related to corporate debt will be approximately \\$205 million.
     
  • 2016 non-vehicle depreciation and amortization expense (excluding the amortization of intangible assets related to acquisitions of \\$60 million) will be approximately \\$195 million.
     
  • Adjusted pretax income will be \\$450 to \\$500 million.
     
  • The Company's effective tax rate applicable to adjusted pretax income in 2016 will be approximately 39%.
     
  • The Company's diluted share count will be 93 million to 95 million, including the effect of repurchasing \\$350 million of stock in 2016.

Based on these expectations, the Company estimates that its 2016 adjusted diluted earnings per share will be \\$2.90 to \\$3.30.  Such estimate includes a negative impact from currency exchange rates of approximately 12 cents per share.  The Company also expects that it will generate \\$450 to \\$500 million of free cash flow in 2016, and that it will repurchase \\$350 to \\$400 million of common stock in 2016.

Our full-year 2016 outlook includes non-GAAP financial measures.  Due to the forward-looking nature of these forecasted adjusted earnings metrics, the Company believes that it is impracticable to provide a reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures due to the degree of uncertainty associated with forecasting the reconciling items and amounts.  The Company further believes that providing estimates of the amounts that would be required to reconcile the forecasted adjusted measures to forecasted GAAP measures would imply a degree of precision that would be confusing or misleading to investors.  The after-tax effect of reconciling items could be significant to the Company's future quarterly or annual results.

Investor Conference Call
Avis Budget Group will host a conference call to discuss second quarter results and its outlook on August 3, 2016, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).  Investors may access the call and supporting presentation materials at ir.avisbudgetgroup.com or by dialing (630) 395-0021 and providing the participant passcode 2995545.  Investors are encouraged to dial in approximately 10 minutes prior to the call.  A web replay will be available at ir.avisbudgetgroup.com following the call.  A telephone replay will be available from 11:00 a.m. (ET) on August 3 until 8:00 p.m. (ET) on August 17 at (203) 369-1243.

About Avis Budget Group
Avis Budget Group, Inc. is a leading global provider of vehicle rental services, both through its Avis and Budget brands, which have more than 11,000 rental locations in approximately 180 countries around the world, and through its Zipcar brand, which is the world's leading car sharing network, with nearly one million members.  Avis Budget Group operates most of its car rental offices in North America, Europe and Australia directly, and operates primarily through licensees in other parts of the world.  Avis Budget Group has approximately 30,000 employees and is headquartered in Parsippany, N.J.  More information is available at www.avisbudgetgroup.com.

Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this press release constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Statements preceded by, followed by or that otherwise include the words "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "intends," "projects," "estimates," "plans," "may increase," "forecast" and similar expressions or future or conditional verbs such as "will," "should," "would," "may" and "could" are based upon then current assumptions and expectations and are generally forward-looking in nature and not historical facts. Any statements that refer to outlook, expectations or other characterizations of future events, circumstances or results, including all statements related to our outlook, future results, future fleet costs, acquisition synergies, cost-saving initiatives and future share repurchases are also forward-looking statements.

Various risks that could cause future results to differ from those expressed by the forward-looking statements included in this press release include, but are not limited to, the Company's ability to promptly and effectively integrate acquired businesses, any change in economic conditions generally, particularly during our peak season or in key market segments, the high level of competition in the vehicle rental industry, a change in our fleet costs as a result of a change in the cost of new vehicles, manufacturer recalls and/or the value of used vehicles, disruption in the supply of new vehicles, disposition of vehicles not covered by manufacturer repurchase programs, the financial condition of the manufacturers that supply our rental vehicles, which could impact their ability to perform their obligations under our repurchase and/or guaranteed depreciation arrangements, any change in travel demand, including changes in airline passenger traffic, any occurrence or threat of terrorism, a significant increase in interest rates or borrowing costs, our ability to obtain financing for our global operations, including the funding of our vehicle fleet via the asset-backed securities market, any changes to the cost or supply of fuel, any fluctuations related to the mark-to-market of derivatives which hedge our exposure to exchange rates, interest rates and fuel costs, our ability to meet the financial and other covenants contained in the agreements governing our indebtedness, risks associated with litigation, governmental or regulatory inquiries or investigations involving the Company, changes to our share repurchase plans, risks related to acquisitions, and our ability to accurately estimate our future results and implement our strategy for cost savings and growth.  Other unknown or unpredictable factors could also have material adverse effects on the Company's performance or achievements. In light of these risks, uncertainties, assumptions and factors, the forward-looking events discussed in this press release may not occur.  You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date stated, or if no date is stated, as of the date of this press release. Important assumptions and other important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are specified in Avis Budget Group's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, and its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2016, included under headings such as "Forward-Looking Statements," "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," and in other filings and furnishings made by the Company with the SEC from time to time. Except for the Company's ongoing obligations to disclose material information under the federal securities laws, the Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly any revisions to any forward-looking statements, to report events or to report the occurrence of unanticipated events unless required by law.

This release includes financial measures such as Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, as well as metrics that exclude certain items that are not considered generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") measures as defined under SEC rules.  Important information regarding such measures is contained on Table 1, Table 4 and Table 5 of this release. The Company believes that these non-GAAP measures are useful in measuring the comparable results of the Company period-over-period. The GAAP measures most directly comparable to Adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, adjusted pretax income, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share are income before income taxes, net cash provided by operating activities, income before income taxes, net income and diluted earnings per share, respectively.  The Company quantifies foreign currency translation impacts on the Company's results by translating the current period's non-U.S.-dollar-denominated results using the currency exchange rates of the prior period of comparison.

 
Table 1
Avis Budget Group, Inc.
SUMMARY DATA SHEET
(In millions, except per share data)
 
   Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30,
   2016 2015 % Change 2016 2015 % Change
Income Statement and Other Items           
 Net revenues\\$2,243  \\$2,173  3% \\$4,124  \\$4,023  3%
 Income (loss) before income taxes63  82  (23%) (23) 66  *
 Net income (loss)36  143  (75%) (15) 134  *
 Earnings (loss) per share - Diluted0.38  1.34  (72%) (0.16) 1.25  *
              
 Adjusted Earnings Metrics (non-GAAP) (A)           
 Adjusted EBITDA204  227  (10%) 248  344  (28%)
 Adjusted pretax income98  142  (31%) 46  168  (73%)
 Adjusted net income60  90  (33%) 33  109  (70%)
 Adjusted earnings per share - Diluted0.63  0.84  (25%) 0.34  1.01  (66%)
              
   As of        
   June 30, 2016 December 31, 2015        
Balance Sheet Items           
 Cash and cash equivalents\\$527  \\$452         
 Vehicles, net13,227  10,658         
 Debt under vehicle programs11,165  8,860         
 Corporate debt3,530  3,461         
 Stockholders' equity339  439         
Segment Results           
 Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30,
 2016 2015 % Change 2016 2015 % Change
Net Revenues           
Americas\\$1,593  \\$1,556  2% \\$2,957  \\$2,931  1%
International650  617  5% 1,167  1,092  7%
Corporate and Other    *     *
Total Company\\$2,243  \\$2,173  3% \\$4,124  \\$4,023  3%
              
Adjusted EBITDA (A)           
Americas\\$163  \\$178  (8%) \\$226  \\$293  (23%)
International57  61  (7%) 58  77  (25%)
Corporate and Other(16) (12) * (36) (26) *
Total Company\\$204  \\$227  (10%) \\$248  \\$344  (28%)
              
_______
* Not meaningful.
(A) See Table 5 for definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures. Adjusted EBITDA includes stock-based compensation expense and deferred financing fee amortization of \\$14 million and \\$16 million in second quarter 2016 and 2015, respectively, and \\$27 million and \\$29 million in the six months ended June 30, 2016 and 2015, respectively.
 
Table 2
Avis Budget Group, Inc.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(In millions, except per share data)
 
  Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30,
  2016 2015 2016 2015
Revenues       
 Vehicle rental\\$1,573  \\$1,533  \\$2,901  \\$2,852 
 Other670  640  1,223  1,171 
Net revenues2,243  2,173  4,124  4,023 
         
Expenses       
 Operating1,122  1,092  2,162  2,077 
 Vehicle depreciation and lease charges, net532  498  995  930 
 Selling, general and administrative312  281  581  529 
 Vehicle interest, net73  75  138  143 
 Non-vehicle related depreciation and amortization65  56  126  105 
 Interest expense related to corporate debt, net:       
   Interest expense56  45  106  97 
   Early extinguishment of debt10  23  10  23 
 Restructuring expense5  3  20  4 
 Transaction-related costs, net5  18  9  49 
Total expenses2,180  2,091  4,147  3,957 
         
Income (loss) before income taxes63  82  (23) 66 
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes27  (61) (8) (68)
Net income (loss)\\$36  \\$143  \\$(15) \\$134 
         
Earnings (loss) per share       
 Basic\\$0.39  \\$1.36  \\$(0.16) \\$1.27 
 Diluted\\$0.38  \\$1.34  \\$(0.16) \\$1.25 
         
Weighted average shares outstanding       
 Basic93.9  105.5  95.1  105.8 
 Diluted95.1  106.7  95.1  107.1 
 
Table 3
Avis Budget Group, Inc.
SEGMENT REVENUE DRIVER ANALYSIS
 
    Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30,
    2016 2015 % Change 2016 2015 % Change
               
Americas            
               
  Rental Days (000's) 26,214  25,823  2% 49,335  48,264  2%
  Time and Mileage Revenue per Day (A) \\$40.25  \\$39.71  1% \\$39.83  \\$40.56  (2%)
  Average Rental Fleet 404,932  404,415  0% 381,580  380,405  0%
               
International            
               
  Rental Days (000's) 11,795  10,916  8% 21,262  18,730  14%
  Time and Mileage Revenue per Day (B) \\$31.76  \\$33.08  (4%) \\$31.94  \\$34.10  (6%)
  Average Rental Fleet 182,797  170,307  7% 165,758  147,390  12%
               
Total            
               
  Rental Days (000's) 38,009  36,739  3% 70,597  66,994  5%
  Time and Mileage Revenue per Day \\$37.62  \\$37.74  0% \\$37.45  \\$38.75  (3%)
  Average Rental Fleet 587,729  574,722  2% 547,338  527,795  4%
_______      
Rental days and time and mileage revenue per day are calculated based on the actual rental of the vehicle during a 24-hour period. Our calculation of rental days and time and mileage revenue per day may not be comparable to the calculation of similarly-titled statistics by other companies. Amounts exclude U.S. truck rental and Zipcar transactions.
(A)Changes in currency exchange rates had a 1% negative impact in the three and six months ended June 30, 2016.
(B)Changes in currency exchange rates had a 1% and 2% negative impact in the three and six months ended June 30, 2016, respectively.
 
Table 4
Avis Budget Group, Inc.
CONSOLIDATED CONDENSED SCHEDULES OF CASH FLOWS AND FREE CASH FLOWS
(In millions)
 
CONSOLIDATED CONDENSED SCHEDULE OF CASH FLOWS
 
   Six Months Ended
June 30, 2016
Operating Activities 
Net cash provided by operating activities\\$1,070 
    
Investing Activities 
Net cash used in investing activities exclusive of vehicle programs(81)
Net cash used in investing activities of vehicle programs(3,000)
Net cash used in investing activities(3,081)
    
Financing Activities 
Net cash used in financing activities exclusive of vehicle programs(146)
Net cash provided by financing activities of vehicle programs2,219 
Net cash provided by financing activities2,073 
    
Effect of changes in exchange rates on cash and cash equivalents13 
Net change in cash and cash equivalents75 
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period452 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period\\$527 
 
CONSOLIDATED SCHEDULE OF FREE CASH FLOWS (A)
 
   Six Months Ended
June 30, 2016
Loss before income taxes\\$(23)
Add-back of non-vehicle related depreciation and amortization126 
Add-back of debt extinguishment costs10 
Add-back of transaction-related costs9 
Working capital and other(19)
Capital expenditures(90)
Tax payments, net of refunds(36)
Vehicle programs and related (B)241 
Free Cash Flow218 
    
Acquisition and related payments, net of acquired cash(3)
Borrowings, net of debt repayments38 
Transaction-related payments(10)
Repurchases of common stock(174)
Foreign exchange effects, financing costs and other6 
Net change in cash and cash equivalents (per above)\\$75 
 _______
(A)See Table 5 for a description of Free Cash Flow.
(B)Includes vehicle-backed borrowings (repayments) that are incremental to amounts required to fund incremental (reduced) vehicle and vehicle-related assets.
 
RECONCILIATION OF FREE CASH FLOW TO NET CASH PROVIDED BY OPERATING ACTIVITIES
 
   Six Months Ended
June 30, 2016
Free Cash Flow (per above)\\$218 
Investing activities of vehicle programs3,000 
Financing activities of vehicle programs(2,219)
Capital expenditures90 
Proceeds received on asset sales(7)
Change in restricted cash(2)
Acquisition-related payments 
Transaction-related payments(10)
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities (per above)\\$1,070 

Table 5

Avis Budget Group, Inc.
DEFINITIONS AND RECONCILIATIONS OF NON-GAAP MEASURES
(In millions, except per share data)

The accompanying press release includes certain non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) financial measures as defined under SEC rules. To the extent not provided in the press release or accompanying tables, we have provided below the reasons we present these non-GAAP financial measures, a description of what they represent and a reconciliation to the most comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.

DEFINITIONS

Adjusted EBITDA
The accompanying press release presents Adjusted EBITDA, which represents income from continuing operations before non-vehicle related depreciation and amortization, any impairment charge, restructuring expense, early extinguishment of debt costs, non-vehicle related interest, transaction-related costs and income taxes. We believe that Adjusted EBITDA is useful as a supplemental measure in evaluating the aggregate performance of our operating businesses and in comparing our results from period to period. Adjusted EBITDA is the measure that is used by our management, including our chief operating decision maker, to perform such evaluation. Adjusted EBITDA is also a component in the determination of management's compensation. Adjusted EBITDA should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for net income or other income statement data prepared in accordance with GAAP and our presentation of Adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures used by other companies.

Adjusted Earnings Metrics
The accompanying press release and tables present adjusted pretax income, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share for the three and six months ended June 30, 2016 and 2015, which exclude certain items. We believe that these measures referred to above are useful as supplemental measures in evaluating the aggregate performance of the Company. We exclude restructuring expense, transaction-related costs, costs related to early extinguishment of debt and other certain items as such items are not representative of the results of operations of our business less a provision for income taxes derived utilizing applicable statutory tax rates for each item.

Reconciliations of Adjusted EBITDA and our adjusted earnings metrics to income (loss) before income taxes, net income (loss) and diluted earnings (loss) per share are as follows:

 
   Three Months Ended June 30,
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income:2016 2015
     
 Adjusted EBITDA\\$204  \\$227 
      
 Less:Non-vehicle related depreciation and amortization (excluding acquisition-related amortization expense)50  40 
  Interest expense related to corporate debt, net (excluding early extinguishment of debt)56  45 
 Adjusted pretax income98  142 
      
 Less certain items:   
  Acquisition-related amortization expense15  16 
  Early extinguishment of debt10  23 
  Restructuring expense5  3 
  Transaction-related costs, net5  18 
 Income before income taxes63  82 
 Provision for (benefit from) income taxes27  (61)
 Net income\\$36  \\$143 
      
Reconciliation of adjusted net income to net income: 
      
 Adjusted net income\\$60  \\$90 
 Less certain items, net of tax:   
  Acquisition-related amortization expense10  10 
  Early extinguishment of debt6  14 
  Restructuring expense4  3 
  Transaction-related costs, net4  18 
  Resolution of a prior-year income tax matter  (98)
 Net income\\$36  \\$143 
      
 Adjusted diluted earnings per share\\$0.63  \\$0.84 
      
 Earnings per share - Diluted\\$0.38  \\$1.34 
      
 Shares used to calculate adjusted diluted earnings per share95.1  106.7 
   Six Months Ended June 30,
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss):2016 2015
      
 Adjusted EBITDA\\$248  \\$344 
      
 Less:Non-vehicle related depreciation and amortization (excluding acquisition-related amortization expense)96  79 
  Interest expense related to corporate debt, net (excluding early extinguishment of debt)106  97 
 Adjusted pretax income46  168 
      
 Less certain items:   
  Acquisition-related amortization expense30  26 
  Restructuring expense20  4 
  Early extinguishment of debt10  23 
  Transaction-related costs, net9  49 
 Income (loss) before income taxes(23) 66 
 Benefit from income taxes(8) (68)
 Net income (loss)\\$(15) \\$134 
      
Reconciliation of adjusted net income to net income (loss):  
      
 Adjusted net income\\$33  \\$109 
 Less certain items, net of tax:   
  Acquisition-related amortization expense20  17 
  Restructuring expense15  3 
  Early extinguishment of debt6  14 
  Transaction-related costs, net7  39 
  Resolution of a prior-year income tax matter  (98)
 Net income (loss)\\$(15) \\$134 
      
 Adjusted diluted earnings per share\\$0.34  \\$1.01 
      
 Earnings (loss) per share - Diluted\\$(0.16) \\$1.25 
      
 Shares used to calculate adjusted diluted earnings per share96.3  107.1 

Free Cash Flow
Represents Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities adjusted to reflect the cash inflows and outflows relating to capital expenditures and GPS navigational units, the investing and financing activities of our vehicle programs, asset sales, if any, and to exclude debt extinguishment costs and transaction-related costs. We believe that Free Cash Flow is useful to management and investors in measuring the cash generated that is available to be used to repurchase stock, repay debt obligations, pay dividends and invest in future growth through new business development activities or acquisitions. Free Cash Flow should not be construed as a substitute in measuring operating results or liquidity, and our presentation of Free Cash Flow may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures used by other companies. A reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to the appropriate measure recognized under GAAP is provided on Table 4.