14.04.2023, 08:20
The share of coal in Russia's energy balance will decrease to 10% by 2050
Source: OREANDA-NEWS
OREANDA-NEWS By 2050, the share of coal in Russia's energy balance will be no more than 10%.
This follows from a study by the consulting company Yakov and Partners.
The company presented 3 scenarios: basic, accelerated transition and recession.
The first scenario is basic. In this scenario, Russia will abandon coal trade with Japan and South Korea from 2026, while maintaining the current GDP growth rates in developing countries. In this case, the share of coal in Russia's energy balance will remain at 10.4% until 2030, and by 2050 it will decrease from 13% to 10%, while the share of renewable energy sources will grow 3 times and reach about 3% by 2035.
In the case of an accelerated transition, the share of coal will decrease to 8.5% by 2050, and the share of renewable energy sources will increase to 6-7%. To do this, the pace of economic growth in the world should return to the previous level.
In any of the 3 scenarios, coal will remain an important component of Russia's energy balance in the next 30 years.
Experts note that the gasification program and an increase in the share of renewable energy will help reduce coal consumption, but it will be considered an economically profitable fuel for a long time, and the demand for this type of fuel from generation will not fall below 92% from the current one until 2050.
This follows from a study by the consulting company Yakov and Partners.
The company presented 3 scenarios: basic, accelerated transition and recession.
The first scenario is basic. In this scenario, Russia will abandon coal trade with Japan and South Korea from 2026, while maintaining the current GDP growth rates in developing countries. In this case, the share of coal in Russia's energy balance will remain at 10.4% until 2030, and by 2050 it will decrease from 13% to 10%, while the share of renewable energy sources will grow 3 times and reach about 3% by 2035.
In the case of an accelerated transition, the share of coal will decrease to 8.5% by 2050, and the share of renewable energy sources will increase to 6-7%. To do this, the pace of economic growth in the world should return to the previous level.
In any of the 3 scenarios, coal will remain an important component of Russia's energy balance in the next 30 years.
Experts note that the gasification program and an increase in the share of renewable energy will help reduce coal consumption, but it will be considered an economically profitable fuel for a long time, and the demand for this type of fuel from generation will not fall below 92% from the current one until 2050.
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