Fitch Affirms 3 Chinese Policy Banks at 'A+'; Outlook Stable
KEY RATING DRIVERS
IDRS, SUPPORT RATINGS, SUPPORT RATING FLOORS AND SENIOR DEBT
The banks' ratings which are equivalent to that of China's sovereign ratings (A+/Stable/F1), are based on an extremely high probability of the central government supporting the banks in a timely manner in the event of stress. This reflects the entities' important policy functions to promote strategic development of China's economy, their 100% state ownership and a long history of support from the central government for the banks. The entities' quasi-sovereign status is also reflected in a zero-risk weighting applied to all bonds issued by the three policy banks. As the policy banks effectively act as agents of the state, no Viability Ratings are assigned.
All three policy banks play an increasingly important role in national economic development by providing financing in key areas: CDB for domestic infrastructure projects and pillar industries; ADBC for procurement of agriculture goods and rural development projects; and Exim for the growth of external trade. In addition to these core policy functions, CDB and Exim also provide financing for strategic overseas investments and resource purchases on behalf of the state, such as China's "One Belt One Road" development initiative. The capital injection from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (USD48bn into CDB and USD45bn into Exim) during 2015 should further strengthen their lending capacity to support broader policy strategies.
The banks' asset growth, which is controlled by the state, remains rapid as they support state policies to sustain China's economic growth and drive economic transformation. Fitch expects all three policy banks will continue to play a significant role in supporting state policy objectives, including policy-directed lending to parts of the economy or borrowers that may otherwise be perceived as unfavourable on a risk-adjusted basis for commercial lenders.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
IDRS, SUPPORT RATINGS, SUPPORT RATING FLOORS AND SENIOR DEBT
The IDRs of the three policy banks will likely move in tandem with the sovereign ratings. However, negative rating action would also be taken should there be any change in the perceived ability and/or willingness of the state to support the banks. Examples of this would include a reduction in government ownership, a material change in banks' policy role (such as commercialisation of their operations) and/or changes in the support mechanism that affects the banks' relationship with the state.
The rating actions are as follows:
China Development Bank Corporation:
Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR affirmed at 'A+'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Foreign-Currency IDR affirmed at 'F1'
Support Rating affirmed at '1'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'A+'
Agricultural Development Bank of China:
Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR affirmed at 'A+'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Foreign-Currency IDR affirmed at 'F1'
Support Rating affirmed at '1'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'A+'
Export-Import Bank of China:
Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR affirmed at 'A+'; Outlook Stable
Short-Term Foreign-Currency IDR affirmed at 'F1'
Support Rating affirmed at '1'
Support Rating Floor affirmed at 'A+'.
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