IMF: Statement at the Conclusion of the 2016 Regional Consultation with WAEMU
At the end of the mission, Mr. Loko issued the following statement:
“Despite the fragile security situation in some member countries and a less favorable external environment in 2015, economic growth exceeded 6 percent for the second consecutive year, driven in particular by strong growth in C?te d’Ivoire and Senegal and by higher public investment. Inflation remains under control at around 1 percent. The medium-term growth outlook remains subject to significant downside risks, including persistent security problems in the region, delays in implementing fiscal consolidation as well as structural reforms, a sharper slowdown of global economic growth, and tighter international financing conditions. The fiscal deficit is estimated at 4.8 percent of GDP in 2015, due to high public investment programs. In the medium term, the regional fiscal deficit is expected to decline while the current account deficit will likely remain high, driven mainly by imports related to investment.
“Fiscal consolidation is essential if the pace of growth in the region as well as the Union’s external sustainability is to be maintained. Thus, member countries need to follow their planned fiscal consolidation path, notably by reducing budget deficits to 3 percent of GDP in 2019, in line with the WAEMU convergence criteria. In that context, and to improve growth prospects over the medium term, reform efforts must focus on increasing domestic fiscal revenue mobilization, better controlling current expenditures, and improving the quality of public investment.
“Raising monetary policy effectiveness requires developing an active interbank market and secondary market for public securities, better controlling the refinancing of banks, and broadening of the financial market investor base.
“Significant progress was made in 2015 on strengthening bank regulation and supervision, including of cross-border banks, and on modernizing the financial sector. Key reforms include raising the minimum share capital for credit institutions, accelerating the pace of the transposition of Basel II and III norms into the regulatory framework, promoting the establishment of credit bureaus, and putting in place a bank crisis resolution mechanism and a deposit guarantee fund. The monetary authorities should continue these efforts by further aligning regulations with international standards and best practices and by strictly enforcing prudential rules and regulations.
“Lastly, achieving continued strong, sustainable, and inclusive growth requires ongoing efforts to improve the business climate as well as to reduce income and gender inequalities so as to facilitate better allocation of productive resources.
“The members of the IMF staff team express their gratitude to the authorities and to all the counterparts with whom they met for the candid and constructive discussions and the warm hospitality extended to them.”
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