OREANDA-NEWS. Fitch Ratings has upgraded Provide Blue 2005 Series as follows:

Provide Blue 2005-1 PLC:
Class E (ISIN DE000A0E6NY0): upgraded to 'BBB+sf' from 'BB-sf'; Outlook Positive

Provide Blue 2005-2 PLC:
Class D (ISIN DE000A0GHZU5): upgraded to 'BBBsf' from 'BBsf'; Outlook Positive
Class E (ISIN DE000A0GHZV3): upgraded to 'Bsf' from 'CCCsf'; Stable Outlook

Both transactions are synthetic securitisations referencing portfolios of residential mortgage loans originated by BHW Bausparkasse AG (BHW). The rating actions reflect the improved asset performance and credit enhancement (CE) levels over the last 12 months.

KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable Asset Performance
Both transactions have reported improved asset performance over the past 12 months with three months plus arrears and loans to bankrupt borrowers decreasing to EUR4.7m (from EUR7.1m) for 2005-1 and to EUR14.6m (from EUR19m) for 2005-2.

Strong Repayments Given Interest Resets
For 2005-1, after strong repayments in 2014 due to the majority of the loans reaching their interest reset dates, repayments have normalised. The same strong increase was observed for 2005-2 in 2015 and a normalisation is also expected.

Low Loss Allocation, Increasing CE
The last four reporting periods saw additional losses of EUR0.6m and EUR0.9m allocated to 2005-1 and 2005-2, respectively, taking total losses to EUR8m and EUR17.1m. Given repayments have been stronger relative to the loss attribution, CE as a percentage of the outstanding balance increased to 4.8% as of end-December 2015 from 3.5% for the 2005-1 class E notes. For 2005-2, as of October 2015, it increased to 0.9% from 0.7% for the class E notes and to 4.5% from 2.8% for the class D notes.

Transactions Called
Following the regulatory call of 2005-1 in January 2010, the senior CDS and class A+, A, B and C notes were paid in full. The class D notes were repaid in full in July 2015. 2005-2 was called in September 2015 with only the class D and E notes outstanding. The outstanding notes' repayment is limited to proceeds received from cures and recoveries of the overdue reference claims exceeding new delinquencies in each period.

RATING SENSITIVITIES
Performance is dependent on the level of losses following the borrowers' defaults and recovery. While Fitch expects continued robust performance of German mortgage loans, unexpectedly sharp deterioration of economic fundamentals could accelerate loss allocation towards the class F notes (2005-1) and the class E notes and the threshold amount (2005-2), adversely affecting CE for the junior notes and resulting in a downgrade.

In addition, for seasoned portfolios a sharper reduction of the reference claim portfolio relative to additional losses being allocated may increase CE and potentially support upgrades across the transactions. This is reflected in the Positive Outlooks on the 2005-1 class E and the 2005-2 class D notes.

DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
Fitch did not undertake a review of the information provided about the underlying asset pools ahead of the transactions' initial closing. The subsequent performance of the transactions over the years is consistent with the agency's expectations given the operating environment and Fitch is therefore satisfied that the asset pool information relied upon for its initial rating analysis was adequately reliable.

DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the information it has received about the performance of the asset pools and the transactions. No full data tape was made available by the originator. The findings were reflected in this analysis by combining information from the last full data delivery in 2010 and the current incomplete tape. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing monitoring.

SOURCES OF INFORMATION
The information below was used in the analysis.
-Selected loan-by-loan data provided by BHW as at 31 August 2015 (2005-1) and 30 September 2015 (2005-2)
-Complete loan-by-loan data provided by BHW as at 31 May 2010 (2005-1) and 31 March (2005-2)
-Transaction reporting provided by BHW as at 14 December 2015 (2005-1) and 16 October 2015 (2005-2) -Servicer updates provided by BHW as at 30 October 2015
-Counterparty information provided by BHW as at 1 December 2015

MODELS
ResiGlobal Germany, Model Version 3.20.0 - GER.05
Click on the link for a description of the model.

https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/ToolsAndModels.faces?context=2&detail=135