Fitch: China, Property, External Risks on Bank Investors' Minds
A faster-than-expected slowdown in China weighed heavily on the minds of investors. From a DM bank perspective, there were concerns about both direct and indirect risks - with direct risks relating to credit exposure (highest in Hong Kong) and trade exposure (Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Japan, Australia/New Zealand and Taiwan). Meanwhile, secondary impacts could stem from exposure to other markets - typically emerging markets - affected by China's slowdown.
For Australian banks, investors' concerns focused mostly on the domestic property market and commodities exposure (as was the case in New Zealand) and any implications stemming from the 2014 Financial Services Inquiry.
For Japan, questions focused mainly on the impact of Abenomics and the banks' international expansion (mostly in APAC). The latter was also a theme for Singaporean banks. The focus in Korea was the outlook for growth - given the high leverage in the household sector and in parts of the corporate sector, as well as an aging population.
There was also strong interest in how regulation pertaining to resolution schemes and total loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) would play out in APAC - in light of the the tendency for authorities in most markets to be supportive of large banks, and seven global systemically important banks being domiciled in the region.
Fitch's report titled "What Investors Want to Know - Asia-Pacific Developed-Market Banks" provides a summary of our views about the above and other issues. The report is available at www.fitchratings.com or by clicking on the links in this media release.
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