Fitch Takes Various Actions on Nelnet Student Loan Trusts
OREANDA-NEWS. Fitch Ratings has affirmed three tranches of notes for Nelnet Student Loan Trust 2005-2. Fitch has also affirmed two tranches of notes for Nelnet Student Loan Trust 2005-3, and maintains the Rating Watch Negative on the A-5 note. A full list of rating actions follows at the end of this release.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Maturity Risk: The Rating Watch Negative on the Nelnet 2005-3 A-5 note is based on the heightened risk of the note missing its legal final maturity of Dec. 24, 2035, which would result in an event of default. In an event of such technical default, Fitch would expect ultimate repayment of full principal and interest after the legal final. The magnitude of the rating action could vary depending on remaining time to maturity, recent payment trends, issuer actions such as loan purchases, or other external factors. Absent any issuer actions, structural or other mitigants, it is possible that 'AAA' ratings could be downgraded one to two rating categories. Fitch expects to complete its review and resolve the Rating Watch status over the next three to six months.
Collateral Quality: Nelnet 2005-2 and Nelnet 2005-3 are backed by 100% Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans, with guaranties provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the U.S. Department of Education (ED) for at least 97% of principal and accrued interest for the FFELP loans. The U.S. is currently rated 'AAA'; Outlook Stable.
Credit Enhancement: Credit Enhancement is provided by excess spread, and for the class A notes, subordination of the class B notes. As of November 2015, senior and total parity ratios including the reserve fund for Nelnet 2005-2 are 107.81% and 100.80%, respectively. As of November 2015, senior and total parity ratios for Nelnet 2005-3 are 107.88% and 100.90%, respectively. The trusts will continue to release cash as long as the target total parity ratios of 100%, not including the reserve fund, are maintained.
Liquidity support: Liquidity support for the Nelnet 2005-2 and Nelnet 2005-3 notes is provided by reserve accounts, sized at 0.25% of the adjusted pool balance, with floors of $2,976,292 for Nelnet 2005-2 and $1,988,700 for Nelnet 2005-3. The reserve accounts for both trusts are currently equal to their respective floors.
Servicing Capabilities: Nelnet services 100% of the loans. In Fitch's opinion, Nelnet is an acceptable servicer of FFELP student loans.
On Nov. 18, 2015, Fitch released its exposure draft which delineates revisions it plans to make to the 'Rating U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Student Loan ABS Criteria', dated June 23, 2014. Fitch has reviewed these transactions under both the existing and proposed criteria, which has resulted in maintaining the Nelnet 2005-3 class A-5 note on Rating Watch Negative.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Since the FFELP student loan ABS relies on the U.S. government to reimburse defaults, 'AAAsf' FFELP ABS ratings will likely move in tandem with the 'AAA' U.S. sovereign rating. Aside from the U.S. sovereign rating, defaults, basis risk, and loan extension risk account for the majority of the risk embedded in FFELP student loan transactions. Additional defaults, basis shock beyond Fitch's published stresses, lower than expected payment speed, and other factors could result in future downgrades. Likewise, a buildup of CE driven by positive excess spread given favorable basis factor conditions could lead to future upgrades.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
Fitch takes the following actions:
Nelnet Student Loan Trust 2005-2:
--Class A-4 affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--Class A-5 affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--Class B affirmed at 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Nelnet Student Loan Trust 2005-3:
--Class A-4 affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--Class A-5 'AAAsf'; Rating Watch Negative maintained;
--Class B affirmed at 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable.
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