Fitch Assigns AP-HP's French CP Programme 'F1 (EXP)' Expected Rating
The final ratings are contingent upon the receipt of final documents conforming to information already received.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The expected rating on the CP programme, which has a maturity of one year, reflects AP-HP's predictable cash flow as the main treasury inflows are set by law. Fitch considers AP-HP's liquidity arrangements are sufficient for meeting debt service requirements, covering debt service by a stable 1.3x expected at end-2015. Due to two rounds of consultation being set up for credit lines, Fitch believes that AP-HP is less exposed to the risk of non-renewal.
AP-HP plans to achieve maximum issues of EUR150m. The CP programme will be backed by sufficient bank liquidity. Fitch views positively AP-HP's high comfortable liquidity coverage.
AP-HP is one of the main French hospitals allow by law to issue CP. Like all public health establishments (PHEs; etablissements publics de sante), AP-HP's liquidity is underpinned by tight control from the state. The French state (AA/Stable/F1+) established a special committee to scrutinise the liquidity of any hospital thought to face liquidity problems. The hospitals concerned will have to submit three months' cash flow projections. AP-HP has not been subjected to control by this special committee in 2015 as it does not show any liquidity problems.
Fitch rates AP-HP on a top-down basis under its public-sector entity rating criteria, due to AP-HP's status as a PHE, its tight control by the French state and its strategic importance to the government. As a result, AP-HP's ratings are credit-linked and equalised with those of France.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
The rating of the CP programme is aligned with the Short-term Issuer Default Ratings of AP-HP. Any modification of AP-HP's issuer ratings would be mirrored by the CP programme's rating.
For more information on the key sensitivities related to AP-HP's ratings, see "Fitch Affirms AP-HP at 'AA', Outlook Stable" dated 17 July 2015 at www.fitchratings.com.
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