11.12.2015, 12:15
Fitch Affirms Ratings of Six APOLLO RMBS Transactions
OREANDA-NEWS. Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of 12 tranches from six APOLLO Series residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS) transactions. The transactions are securitisations of first-ranking Australian residential mortgages originated by Suncorp-Metway Limited (A+/Stable/F1). The notes were issued by Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited, in its capacity as trustee of the Series. A list of rating actions can be found at the end of this commentary.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmations reflect Fitch's view that available credit enhancement is sufficient to support the notes' current ratings, and the agency's expectations of Australia's economic conditions. The credit quality and performance of the loans in the collateral pools have remained in line with Fitch's expectations.
As per the APAC Residential Mortgage criteria, the default model was not run for this rating action, as a review of pre-determined performance triggers indicates that the transactions display stable asset performance.
At November 2015, 30+ day arrears for Apollo 2013-1 and Apollo 2015-1 were below Fitch's Dinkum Index of 1.12%. The 30+ day arrears for the remaining transactions were above the Index, with Apollo 2007-1E recording the highest arrears at 2.06%.
Nine loans had resulted in losses totalling AUD 808,342, seven of which were in the portfolio backing Apollo 2007 1E and one loss in Apollo 2012-1. The remaining loss for Apollo 2009-1 transaction is the only new loss recorded across the transactions since the last rating action in January 2015. Losses on the underlying mortgages in the pool have been covered primarily by the lenders' mortgage insurance (LMI) provider, QBE Lenders Mortgage Insurance Pty Limited (QBE, Insurer Financial Strength Rating: AA-/Stable); the overall payout ratio has been 92.2%. The remaining losses were covered by excess spread. All loans in each of the underlying portfolios are covered by LMI from QBE.
The portfolios were well seasoned at between 4.6 years (Apollo 2015-1) and 10.6 years (for Apollo 2007-1E). The weighted average loan/value (LVR) ranged between 52.2% (for Apollo 2007-1E) and 62.6% (Apollo 2015-1). Each pool is geographically concentrated in Queensland which has been taken into account in our analysis.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Sequential pay-down has increased credit enhancement for the senior notes of all the transactions, with the 'AAAsf' rated notes able to withstand multiples of the latest reported arrears. The ratings are not expected to be affected due to any foreseeable change in performance.
The ratings of all the APOLLO RMBS transactions' senior notes are independent of downgrades to the LMI provider's ratings.
The Class B notes' ratings are unlikely to change unless there is a significant reduction in LMI claims paid and where Fitch considers that levels of excess spread are no longer adequate.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch conducted a file review of 10 sample loan files focusing on the underwriting procedures conducted by Suncorp-Metway Limited compared to its credit policy at the time of underwriting. Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the information and no material discrepancies were noted that would impact Fitch's rating analysis.
A comparison of the transaction's representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms (RW&Es) to those of typical RW&Es for this asset class is available by accessing the reports and/or links under Related Research below.
The rating actions are as follows:
APOLLO Series 2007-1E (APOLLO 2007-1E):
AUD 113.6m Class 1A (ISIN AU0000AOYHA7) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
EUR 82.6m Class 2A (ISIN XS0299266972) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 15.8m Class B (ISIN AU3FN0002580) affirmed at 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2009-1 (APOLLO 2009-1):
AUD 171.9m Class A3 (ISIN AU3FN0008697) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 147.8m Class B (ISIN AU3FN0008975) affirmed at 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2011-1 (APOLLO 2011-1):
AUD 188.0m Class A1 (ISIN AU3FN0014502) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
AUD 172.7m Class A2 (ISIN AU3FN0014510) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 44.9m Class AB (ISIN AU3FN0014528) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2012-1 (APOLLO 2012-1):
AUD 367.9m Class A1 (ISIN AU3FN0016515) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 44.7m Class AB (ISIN AU3FN0016523) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2013-1 (APOLLO 2013-1):
AUD 493.7m Class A (ISIN AU0000AORHA1) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2015-1 (APOLLO 2015-1):
AUD 929.2m Class A (ISIN AU3FN0026548) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmations reflect Fitch's view that available credit enhancement is sufficient to support the notes' current ratings, and the agency's expectations of Australia's economic conditions. The credit quality and performance of the loans in the collateral pools have remained in line with Fitch's expectations.
As per the APAC Residential Mortgage criteria, the default model was not run for this rating action, as a review of pre-determined performance triggers indicates that the transactions display stable asset performance.
At November 2015, 30+ day arrears for Apollo 2013-1 and Apollo 2015-1 were below Fitch's Dinkum Index of 1.12%. The 30+ day arrears for the remaining transactions were above the Index, with Apollo 2007-1E recording the highest arrears at 2.06%.
Nine loans had resulted in losses totalling AUD 808,342, seven of which were in the portfolio backing Apollo 2007 1E and one loss in Apollo 2012-1. The remaining loss for Apollo 2009-1 transaction is the only new loss recorded across the transactions since the last rating action in January 2015. Losses on the underlying mortgages in the pool have been covered primarily by the lenders' mortgage insurance (LMI) provider, QBE Lenders Mortgage Insurance Pty Limited (QBE, Insurer Financial Strength Rating: AA-/Stable); the overall payout ratio has been 92.2%. The remaining losses were covered by excess spread. All loans in each of the underlying portfolios are covered by LMI from QBE.
The portfolios were well seasoned at between 4.6 years (Apollo 2015-1) and 10.6 years (for Apollo 2007-1E). The weighted average loan/value (LVR) ranged between 52.2% (for Apollo 2007-1E) and 62.6% (Apollo 2015-1). Each pool is geographically concentrated in Queensland which has been taken into account in our analysis.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Sequential pay-down has increased credit enhancement for the senior notes of all the transactions, with the 'AAAsf' rated notes able to withstand multiples of the latest reported arrears. The ratings are not expected to be affected due to any foreseeable change in performance.
The ratings of all the APOLLO RMBS transactions' senior notes are independent of downgrades to the LMI provider's ratings.
The Class B notes' ratings are unlikely to change unless there is a significant reduction in LMI claims paid and where Fitch considers that levels of excess spread are no longer adequate.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch conducted a file review of 10 sample loan files focusing on the underwriting procedures conducted by Suncorp-Metway Limited compared to its credit policy at the time of underwriting. Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the information and no material discrepancies were noted that would impact Fitch's rating analysis.
A comparison of the transaction's representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms (RW&Es) to those of typical RW&Es for this asset class is available by accessing the reports and/or links under Related Research below.
The rating actions are as follows:
APOLLO Series 2007-1E (APOLLO 2007-1E):
AUD 113.6m Class 1A (ISIN AU0000AOYHA7) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
EUR 82.6m Class 2A (ISIN XS0299266972) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 15.8m Class B (ISIN AU3FN0002580) affirmed at 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2009-1 (APOLLO 2009-1):
AUD 171.9m Class A3 (ISIN AU3FN0008697) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 147.8m Class B (ISIN AU3FN0008975) affirmed at 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2011-1 (APOLLO 2011-1):
AUD 188.0m Class A1 (ISIN AU3FN0014502) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
AUD 172.7m Class A2 (ISIN AU3FN0014510) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 44.9m Class AB (ISIN AU3FN0014528) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2012-1 (APOLLO 2012-1):
AUD 367.9m Class A1 (ISIN AU3FN0016515) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; and
AUD 44.7m Class AB (ISIN AU3FN0016523) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2013-1 (APOLLO 2013-1):
AUD 493.7m Class A (ISIN AU0000AORHA1) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
APOLLO Series 2015-1 (APOLLO 2015-1):
AUD 929.2m Class A (ISIN AU3FN0026548) affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
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