Fitch: Latin America Corporate Outlooks Update - Challenges Persist for Chilean Corporates
'Credit metrics are expected to remain under pressure; nevertheless, downgrades should be limited in 2016 as most of these credits continue to improve their cost structures', according to Alejandra Fernandez, a Director at Fitch.
Leverage has increased for the majority of the 28 Chilean corporates with international ratings over the past few years. The median adjusted net debt-to-EBITDAR ratio as of June 2015 was 3.9x, a decline when compared with 2.3x in December 2011. Negative operating cash flow trends have been a key driver of higher leverage.
An important contributor to rising debt levels has been debt-funded M&A activity, which has expanded the presence of many corporates in Peru, Colombia and Brazil. Investments in Brazil remain as pressure points for Chilean corporates, with 10 issuers operating in that country.
Positively, foreign exchange risk is largely manageable for the 28 Chilean corporates in aggregate. Derivatives are common and issuers can find instruments that match the terms of the bonds. Issuers have done a reasonable job balancing the currency of their debt versus the currency of their cash flow.
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