Fitch: Stable Outlook for UK Whole Business Securitisations in 2016
The sector Outlook remains Stable/Negative. In Fitch's view, some pubcos may underperform in 2016. Fitch expects the large tenanted pubcos to be negatively affected by the new market rent only option enacted in 2015, which could result in some profit transfer to tenants over time. Additionally, managed pubcos' margins may be directly pressurised as a result of the new living wage announced during 2015 (expected to reach GBP9 per hour by 2020 from GBP6.70 currently).
While the outlooks for other WBS sectors such as funeral services and crematoria, leisure and motorway service areas are stable, in Fitch's view they remain at risk from potentially constrained consumer spending if rising indebtedness is not matched by consistently increasing real wages.
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