Fitch Upgrades 1 of TDA 19 - Mixto, FTA; Affirms 3
Class A (ISIN ES0377964004): affirmed at 'AA+sf'; Outlook Stable
Class B (ISIN ES0377964012): affirmed at 'AA+sf'; Outlook Stable
Class C (ISIN ES0377964020): affirmed at 'AAsf' ; Outlook Stable
Class D (ISIN ES0377964038): upgraded to 'Asf' from 'BBB+sf'; Outlook Stable
The transaction comprises mortgages originated by Cajamar (66%) and Caja Tarragona (now called Catalunya CaixaBanc SA; 34%).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable Asset Performance
The rating actions are driven by the strong performance of the underlying mortgage portfolio. As of July 2015, late arrears (loans with more than three monthly payments overdue) represent 0.3% of the current portfolio balance (down 39 bps year-on-year), while they are reported at 1.43% for the Spanish RMBS Index. Gross defaults (loans with more than 12 monthly payments overdue) have increased only marginally (12bps during the past 12 months) and stand at 1.2% of the original pool balance, also better than the market average (5.1%). Fitch expects the performance to remain stable for this transaction given the very limited pipeline of arrears and the quality of the collateralised assets.
Sufficient Credit Enhancement
The rating actions also reflect the high credit enhancement (CE), spanning from 9.5% (class D) to 23.6% (class A) of the outstanding portfolio balance. The stresses applied in the analysis include a 34bps haircut to the gross excess spread, calculated as the average historical difference between the Mibor and IRPH rates received by the SPV and the three-month Euribor payable to the notes, as the transaction is exposed to basis risk. Fitch also assumed more stringent debt-to-income (DTI) assumptions as no information was provided with respect to the borrowers' income.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Deterioration in asset performance may result from economic factors, in particular from increasing unemployment and interest rates. A raise in defaults and the associated pressure on excess spread and reserve fund could result in negative rating action.
The ratings are also sensitive to changes to Spain's Country Ceiling and, consequently, changes to the highest achievable rating of Spanish structured finance notes.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the information it has received about the performance of the asset pool and the transaction. No borrower income data was provided and this was reflected in the analysis by assuming more conservative DTI assumptions.
Fitch has not reviewed the results of any third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing monitoring.
Fitch did not undertake a review of the information provided about the underlying asset pool ahead of the transaction's initial closing. The subsequent performance of the transaction over the years is consistent with the agency's expectations given the operating environment and Fitch is therefore satisfied that the asset pool information relied upon for its initial rating analysis was adequately reliable.
Prior to the transaction closing, Fitch conducted a review of a small targeted sample of Cajamar and Caja Tarragona's origination files and found the information contained in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the originator's policies and practices and the other information provided to the agency about the asset portfolio.
Overall and together with the assumptions referred to above, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
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SOURCES OF INFORMATION
The information below was used in the analysis:
- Loan-by-loan data provided by TDA as at May 2015
- Transaction reporting provided by TDA as at May 2015.
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