Fitch Affirms SLM 2012-7 Class A-3 Notes; Outlook Revised to Negative
SLM Student Loan Trust, Series 2012-7:
--Class A-1 has been paid in full;
--Class A-2 'AAAsf'; Rating Watch Negative maintained;
--Class A-3 affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook revised to Negative from Stable;
--Class B 'A+sf'; Rating Watch Negative maintained.
The Rating Outlook revision is due to Fitch's belief that the class A-3 outstanding notes carry a heightened level of extension risk. Based on Fitch's cash flow modelling runs, the notes were not paid in full by their legal final maturity date on May 26, 2026 in a stressed scenario. Under such scenarios, this may result in technical defaults, although Fitch would expect ultimate repayment of full principal and interest afterwards.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High Collateral Quality: The trust collateral comprises Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans with guaranties provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the U.S. Department of Education (ED) for at least 97% of principal and accrued interest. Fitch's current U.S. sovereign rating is 'AAA' with a Stable Outlook.
Sufficient Credit Enhancement (CE): CE is provided by overcollateralization (OC; the excess of trust's asset balance over bond balance), excess spread, and for the senior notes, subordination of the class B note. As of August 2015, total parity is 101.01% (1.00% CE) and senior parity is 105.42% (5.15% CE). The trust has been releasing cash given the specified OC amount of the greater of 1.0% of the adjusted pool balance and \\$1.3 million is maintained.
Adequate Liquidity Support: Liquidity support is provided by a debt service reserve fund currently sized at the greater of 0.25% of the pool balance and \\$1.25 million. As of August 2015, the reserve account balance is approximately \\$2.26 million.
Acceptable Servicing Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing is provided by Navient Corporation (formerly known as Sallie Mae, Inc.). Fitch believes Navient is an acceptable servicer of FFELP student loans.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Since the FFELP student loan ABS relies on the U.S. government to reimburse defaults, 'AAAsf' FFELP ABS ratings will likely move in tandem with the 'AAA' U.S. sovereign rating. Aside from the U.S. sovereign rating, defaults and basis risk account for the majority of the risk embedded in FFELP student loan transactions. Additional defaults and basis shock beyond Fitch's published stresses could result in future downgrades. Likewise, a buildup of credit enhancement driven by positive excess spread given favorable basis factor conditions could lead to future upgrades.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
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