OREANDA-NEWS. This announcement corrects the publication on 15 April 2015 and provides more details on the performance of AyT Caja Granada.

Fitch Ratings-London-15 April 2015: Fitch Ratings has affirmed 12, downgraded three and upgraded two tranches of five Spanish RMBS transactions. The agency has also revised the Outlook on three tranches to Stable from Negative. A full list of rating actions is available at the end of this commentary.

The transactions are part of a series of RMBS transactions that are serviced by Banco Mare Nostrum, S.A. (BB+/Negative/B) for AyT Caja Granada Hipotecario 1 and Ayt Caja Murcia Hipotecario I; Liberbank S.A. (BB+/Negative/B) for IM Cajastur MBS 1; Banco de Sabadell S.A. (Withdrawn) for TDA 29 and Bankia, S.A. (BBB-/Negative/F3) for VAL Bancaja 1.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Stable Credit Enhancement
The notes in AyT Caja Granada Hipotecario 1, IM Cajastur MBS 1, TDA 29 and VAL Bancaja are currently paying sequentially. A switch to pro-rata is not expected in the near future as various triggers remain unmet. AyT Caja Murcia Hipotecario 1 has been paying pro-rata since April 2010, and given the low level of arrears a reverse to sequential payment is not expected in the next 12 months. This exposes senior investors to adverse selection and limits the scope for positive rating action in spite of the solid performance to date.

Stable Asset Performance
With the exception AyT Caja Granada Hipotecario 1, the deals have shown sound asset performance compared with the Spanish average. Three-months plus arrears (excluding defaults) as a percentage of the current pool balance range from 0.9% (Murcia Hipotecario) to 1.4% (VAL Bancaja). These numbers remain below Fitch's index of three-months plus arrears (excluding defaults) of 1.7%. As for the Granada deal three-month arrears are persistently high at 5.9%.

Cumulative defaults, defined as mortgages in arrears by more than 18 months (12 months for TDA 29), range from 0.1% (Murcia Hipotecario) to 4.7% (Caja Granada), all below the average for the sector of 4.9%. Fitch believes that these levels are likely to rise further as late-stage arrears roll into the defaulted category.

Reserve Fund Draws
After various draws and partial replenishments, the reserve funds for IM Cajastur and Val Bancaja are close to their target (95% and 98%). However, for AyT Caja Granada and TDA 29 the reserve funds remain fully depleted, while their principal deficiency ledgers (PDL) report debits of 0.5% and 0.3%. Fitch notes that in recent periods, there have been some signs of improvement in performance of TDA 29 and that the pace of new defaults in AyT Caja Granada has slowed down. The agency believes further decreases in PDL balances of AyT Caja Granada may materialise in the next few payment dates, but will take several months to ultimately clear.

In contrast AyT Caja Murcia features a fully-funded reserve fund (it has never been drawn), which has allowed it to amortise to its floor level. Given low arrears, Fitch believes the transaction will avoid depletions from the reserve, although its fairly limited liquidity support also restricts the scope for positive rating action.

Payment Interruption Risk
Both AyT deals as well as IM Cajastur and VAL Bancaja have liquidity to cover a number of payments due to the senior notes and to relevant counterparties in case of default of the servicer or the collection account bank. In contrast, the depleted reserve fund in TDA 29 exposes senior noteholders to payment interruption risk consistent with the low investment- grade ratings. Therefore even if the transaction's performance improves the ratings are unlikely to be upgraded above 'Asf'.

Notable Rating Actions
The high level of gross cumulative defaults to date, a fully depleted reserve fund and the existence of a PDL balance can no longer withstand stresses associated with the previous ratings, hence Fitch has downgraded three tranches of AyT Caja Granada.

For TDA 29, the reduction in arrears, stabilisation in defaults and decreased PDL debit balances mean overall credit performance has moved to a sounder footing, as reflected in today's Outlook revisions to Stable.

Finally, given the stable performance, reduction in arrears and the ample reserve fund balances, Fitch considers the class B of IM Cajastur and the C of VAL Bancaja have shown an improvement in credit quality, leading to today's upgrades. The more senior notes in these deals are capped at the 'Asf' category on account of counterparty risk.

RATING SENSITIVITIES
A worsening of the Spanish macroeconomic environment, especially employment conditions, or an abrupt shift in interest rates could jeopardise the ability of the underlying borrowers to meet their payment obligations. If this shows up in more volatile arrears patterns or in a material increase in default rates, this could trigger negative rating action.

DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
Fitch did not undertake a review of the information provided about the underlying asset pools ahead of the transactions initial closing. The subsequent performance of the transactions over the years is consistent with the agency's expectations given the operating environment and Fitch is therefore satisfied that the asset pool information relied upon for its initial rating analysis was adequately reliable.

Overall, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.

Today's rating actions are as follows:

AyT Caja Granada Hipotecario 1:
Class A notes (ISIN ES0312212006): downgraded to 'Asf' from 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable
Class B notes (ISIN ES0312212014): downgraded to 'CCCsf' from 'Bsf'; Recovery Estimate 95%
Class C notes (ISIN ES0312212022): downgraded to 'CCsf' from 'CCCsf'; Recovery Estimate 10%
Class D notes (ISIN ES0312212030): affirmed at 'CCsf'; Recovery Estimate 0%

AyT Caja Murcia Hipotecario I:
Class A notes (ISIN ES0312282009): affirmed at 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable
Class B notes (ISIN ES0312282017): affirmed at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable
Class C notes (ISIN ES0312282025): affirmed at 'BB+sf'; Outlook Stable

IM Cajastur MBS 1:
Class A notes (ISIN ES0347458004): affirmed at 'A+sf'; Outlook Stable
Class B notes (ISIN ES0347458012): upgraded to 'BBB+sf' from 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable

TDA 29:
Class A2 notes (ISIN ES0377931011): affirmed at 'BBBsf'; Outlook revised to Stable from Negative
Class B notes (ISIN ES0377931029): affirmed at 'Bsf'; Outlook revised to Stable from Negative
Class C notes (ISIN ES0377931037): affirmed at 'CCCsf'; Recovery Estimate 65%
Class D notes (ISIN ES0377931045): affirmed at 'CCsf'; Recovery Estimate 0%

VAL Bancaja 1:
Class A1 notes (ISIN ES0339721005): affirmed at 'A+sf'; Outlook Stable
Class A2 notes (ISIN ES0339721013): affirmed at 'A+sf'; Outlook Stable
Class B notes (ISIN ES0339721021): affirmed at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable
Class C notes (ISIN ES0339721039): upgraded to 'BBB+sf' from 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable

The information below was used in the analysis:

Loan-by-loan data provided by Ahorro y Titulizacion S.G.F.T, S.A and sourced from the European Data Warehouse with the following cut-off dates:
-AyT Caja Granada Hipotecario 1 as at 01/12/2014
-AyT Caja Murcia Hipotecario I as at 01/12/2014
Loan-by-loan data provided by InterMoney Titulizacion S.G.F.T, S.A and sourced from the European Data Warehouse with the following cut-off dates:
-IM Cajastur MBS 1 as at 31/01/2015

Loan-by-loan data provided by Titulizacion de Activos S.G.F.T, S.A and sourced from the European Data Warehouse with the following cut-off dates:
-TDA 29 as at 31/01/2015

Loan-by-loan data provided by Europea de Titulizacion S.G.F.T, S.A and sourced from the European Data Warehouse with the following cut-off dates:
-VAL Bancaja as at 20/02/2015

-Informe Control de Novaciones (maturity extension data file) provided by Ahorro y Titulizacion with a cut-of date of 28/02/2015 for AyT Caja Granada Hipotecario 1 and AyT Caja Murcia Hipotecario I

Models
The model below was used in the analysis. Click on the link for a description of the model.