Fitch: U.S. Public Finance Upgrades Exceed Downgrades Led by Healthcare
Despite the positive balance, par value for downgrades far exceeded upgrades, primarily due to the downgrade of Puerto Rico's general obligation bonds and other related debt.
Fitch downgraded 18 credits, which represented approximately 1.9% of all rating actions and \\$47.5 billion in par value. Fitch upgraded 36 credits, which represented 3.9% of all rating actions and \\$11.8 billion in par value. Strong financial position and management were common factors cited for credit upgrades.
The number of Negative Rating Outlooks (136) continued to exceed the number of Positive Rating Outlooks (106). However, Positive Rating Outlooks increased from the prior quarter and the number of Negative Rating Outlooks continued to decrease. The number of Negative Rating Outlooks was at its lowest level since 3Q'08.
A majority of the rating actions (89%) during the first quarter were affirmations. Furthermore, 93% of ratings had a Stable Rating Outlook at the end of the second quarter. Based on present distribution of Rating Outlooks and Watches within U.S. Public Finance, Fitch expects ratings to remain stable for most sectors throughout the year.
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