Fitch: FSU Rail Transport Companies Face Slowing Economy, FX Volatility
Freight rail transportation volumes continued to decline in most FSU countries over 5M15 and we expect rail volumes to remain weak in 2H15 on the back of lower GDP growth across the region. FSU rail transport companies that are reliant on crude oil transportation are also under competitive pressure as crude oil traffic continues to switch to pipelines from rail.
Rated rail transport companies are subject to FX fluctuations, albeit to varying degree. A sustained weakening of local currencies could undermine companies' credit metrics. Flat tariff growth in Kazakhstan will put further pressure on JSC National Company Kazakhstan Temir Zholy's standalone profile.
Positively, the expected commissioning of Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway line will further increase the importance of Azerbaijan Railways Closed Joint-Stock Company and Georgian Railway JSC in freight transportation within the region and will enhance their business profiles.
Комментарии