Fitch Downgrades Tonon's Ratings to 'RD'
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The downgrade follows the conclusion of the debt exchange offer for the USD300 million senior unsecured notes due 2020, with approximately 95% adhesion. New notes have a step-up coupon starting at 7.25% for the first two years, moving to 9.25% from Jan. 24, 2017 until Jan. 24, 2020. Tonon Luxembourg will accrue interests from Jan. 24, 2015 and the issuer has the option to defer cash payments of interest due on any interest payment under the New Notes. Fitch understands the conditions for bondholders deteriorated compared to the previous Notes and the company chose this option to avoid entering in bankruptcy proceedings.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
--Increased systemic risk and scarce availability of medium and long-term finance;
--Average sugar prices at USD14 cents/pound in 2015/2016, USD16 cents/pound in 2016/2017 and flat at USD17 cents/pound from 2017/2018 on;
--Domestic ethanol prices keeping the historical correlation with international sugar prices.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
An upgrade to the C to CCC category is plausible over the short-term, following the conclusion of the Debt Exchange Offer and the consequent improvements in company's liquidity. Upgrades to higher categories are not expected given the maintenance of above-average leverage indicators and the operational and financial challenges surrounding the sugar and ethanol sector.
The company's ratings could be downgraded to 'D' if the company defaults on its scheduled amortization/interest payments and/or formally files for bankruptcy protection.
FULL LIST OF RATING ACTIONS
Tonon Bioenergia S.A.
--Foreign currency IDR downgraded to 'RD' from 'C';
--Local currency IDR downgraded to 'RD' from 'C'.
Tonon Luxembourg S.A.
--Rating of the USD230 million senior secured notes, due 2024, affirmed at 'C/RR4';
--Rating of the USD300 million senior unsecured notes, due 2020, affirmed at 'C/RR4'.
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