Fitch: US Movie Exhibitors' Stable Outlook Melds LT Challenges
Fitch's 2015 expectations incorporate attendance, average ticket price and concessions.
Attendance is expected to experience low- to mid-single-digit growth given a strong film slate throughout the year, and average ticket prices are expected to display low single-digit growth. Concessions are expected to show low single-digit increases driven by increased per-capita spending, though offset by attendance declines.
The longer term secular risks of shortening exhibition windows and increased indirect competition from video on demand (VOD) and other "over the top" (OTT) services will continue to contribute to gradual attendance declines. These risks weigh heavily on exhibitors' issuer default ratings and are reflected in the 'B' category ratings. These risks are balanced by Fitch's belief that movie exhibitions will continue to be a key promotion window for the movie studios' biggest and most profitable releases.
In the special report, "An Exclusive Preview (Fitch's 2015 U.S. Movie Exhibitor Industry Report)," Fitch maintains its cautious view on the longer term prospects for the industry, which we have held over the past several years.
The report also provides updated organization charts and portfolio summaries for AMC Entertainment Inc. (B+/Stable), Cinemark Holdings, Inc., Regal Entertainment Inc. (B+/Stable) and National CineMedia Inc.
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