Fitch Affirms Signum Finance Cayman Limited Series 2010-09
--\$200,000,000 secured variable-rate notes at 'A sf'; Outlook Stable.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The rating affirmation is based on the credit rating of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and the performance of the insurance pool referenced under the swap agreement. Fitch applied the two-risk CLN matrix under its criteria for single- and multi-name credit-linked notes (referenced at the end of this press release) to determine the rating of the notes.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (IDR 'A') is currently the highest risk-presenting entity. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is the guarantor to Goldman Sachs International (GSI), the swap counterparty, the backup collateral assets settlement provider (backup CASP) and the collateral asset issuer and is treated as one risk-presenting entity.
The note is exposed to an event trigger that is based on the cumulative actual-to-expected mortality ratio of a defined pool of policyholders. This ratio showed favourable improvement over the past 12 months and continues to be significantly below specified trigger levels. As of the surveillance report dated April 30, 2015, the cumulative actual-to-expected mortality ratio was around 90%. Thus, it remains within range of the modeling expectations of an implied rating of 'AA'.
Signum 2010-09 (the issuer) is a bankruptcy-remote, special purpose vehicle (SPV) established to issue the notes with the proceeds being used to purchase collateral assets in the form of 15-year senior unsecured bonds issued by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The issuer also entered into a 15-year swap with GSI as the swap counterparty.
Under the mortality swap, the SPV provides mortality protection on a defined block of U.S. level-term life insurance policies. The SPV makes payments to GSI in the event actual mortality experience of the defined block exceeds specified trigger levels. The fixed payments to the SPV from GSI will be paid to investors in the notes along with any interest received on the collateral assets.
An agreement with the CASP provides for a return of par value to the issuer in exchange for a principal amount of the collateral assets equivalent to the payment due from the issuer to the noteholder in the event of an early redemption due to a cancellation event under the mortality swap, or from the issuer to the swap counterparty following a loss. GSI serves as the Backup CASP, providing for the full payment of par value should the CASP default in its obligations under the agreement.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
The rating of the note is sensitive to the rating migration of the underlying risk-presenting entities.
An upgrade or downgrade of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. would have a corresponding impact on the note.
A significant increase in actual-to-expected mortality experience of the defined insurance block would likely result in a downgrade to the notes. However, a rating upgrade would not occur if the mortality experience continues to improve, as the credit rating of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. acts as a limiting factor.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
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