Fitch Upgrades 1 Class of Ford Auto Securitization Trust 2012-R1; Outlook Stable
--Class A-3 affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--Class B affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--Class C affirmed at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--Class D upgraded to 'AAAsf' from 'AAsf'; Outlook Revised to Stable from Positive.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The rating actions are based on available credit enhancement and loss performance. The collateral pool continues to perform within Fitch's expectations. Under the credit enhancement structure, the securities are able to withstand stress scenarios consistent with the current rating and make full payments to investors in accordance with the terms of the documents.
The ratings reflect the quality of Ford Credit Canada Limited's retail auto loan originations, the strength of its servicing capabilities, and the sound financial and legal structure of the transaction.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults and loss severity could produce loss levels higher than the current projected base case loss proxy and impact available loss coverage and multiples levels for the transaction. Lower loss coverage could impact ratings and Rating Outlooks, depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
In Fitch's initial review of the transaction, the notes were found to have limited sensitivity to a 1.5x and 2.5x increase of Fitch's base case loss expectation. To date, the transaction has exhibited strong performance with losses well below Fitch's initial expectations with rising loss coverage and multiple levels. As such, a material deterioration in performance would have to occur within the asset pool to have potential negative impact on the outstanding ratings.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No due diligence information was received for this review.
Fitch's analysis of the Representation and Warranties (R&W) of this transaction can be found in 'Ford Auto Securitization Trust 2012-R1 Classes --Appendix'. These R&W are compared to those of typical R&W for the asset class as detailed in the special report 'Representations, Warranties, and Enforcement Mechanisms in the Global Structured Finance Transactions' dated June 12, 2015.
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