Fitch to Rate Nissan Auto Lease Trust 2015-A; Issues Presale
--\$91,000 000 class A-1 asset-backed notes 'F1+sf';
--\$332,000,000 class A-2a/A-2b asset-backed notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--\$252,000,000 class A-3 asset-backed notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--\$75,000,000 class A-4 asset-backed notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable Collateral Quality: The weighted average (WA) FICO score of 747 is consistent with prior NALT transactions. The pool is primarily composed of 36-month leases (50.7% versus 25.3% in 2014-B and has WA seasoning of 12 months. The base residual value percentage increased to 69.7% in 2015-B versus 68.3% for 2014-B.
Adequate Credit Enhancement Structure: Initial credit enhancement (CE) is 16.50% of the initial securitization value (SV), growing to 17.50% of the initial values, and excess spread is expected to be 4.71%.
Weakening Residual Performance: Residual loss performance for the NMAC platform has softened through fiscal year-end 2015. Infiniti vehicles, in particular, have played a larger role in driving losses. However, losses are still well below peak 2008-2009 levels for both the Nissan and Infiniti brands. Fitch's 'BB' RV loss expectation is 12.50% of base residual and Fitch's credit loss proxy is 0.90% of SV.
Evolving Wholesale Market: The U.S. wholesale vehicle market has been normalizing following strong performance in recent years. Fitch expects that increasing off-lease vehicle supply and pressure from increased production levels will lead to decreased residual realizations during the life of the transaction.
Consistent Origination/Underwriting/Servicing: NMAC has adequate capabilities as originator, underwriter and servicer, as evidenced by historical delinquency and loss performance of its managed portfolio and securitizations. Fitch deems NMAC capable of adequately servicing 2015-A.
Legal Structure Integrity: The legal structure of the transaction should provide that a bankruptcy of NMAC would not impair the timeliness of payments on the notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Unanticipated decreases in the value of returned vehicles and/or increases in the frequency of defaults and loss severity on defaulted receivables could produce loss levels higher than the base case. This would likely result in declines of credit enhancement and loss coverage levels available to the notes. Hence, Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by increasing the transaction's initial base case RV and credit loss assumptions and examining the rating implications on all classes of issued notes. The increases to the base case losses are applied such that they represent moderate (1.5x) and severe (2.5x) stresses, and are intended to provide an indication of the rating sensitivity of notes to unexpected deterioration of a trust's performance.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
Fitch's analysis of the Representations and Warranties (R&W) of this transaction can be found in the reports titled ' Nissan Auto Lease Trust 2015-A -- Appendix'. These R&W are compared to those of typical R&W for the asset class as detailed in the special report 'Representations, Warranties, and Enforcement Mechanisms in Global Structured Finance Transactions' dated March 26, 2015.
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