Fitch Rates Banque Ouest Africaine de Developpement 'BBB'; Outlook Stable
BOAD's ratings are primarily based on the strong support the bank receives from its largest shareholder, the Banque Centrale des Etats d'Afrique de l'Ouest (BCEAO), which is the regional central bank for the West African Economic and Monetary Union (Union Economique et Monetaire Ouest-Africaine - UEMOA in French) and owns 45% of BOAD's capital. The ratings also reflect support from the regional member states (RMS) of the UEMOA, each of which owns 6% of capital, as well as from its non-regional member states, especially France (AA/Stable; 4% of capital).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The ratings and Stable Outlook reflect the following key rating drivers:
BOAD's shareholder's capacity to support reflects the average rating of key shareholders, BCEAO and Cote d'Ivoire (B / Positive), the only RMS rated by Fitch. The other RMS - Benin, Burkina Faso, Guinea Bissau, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo - are not rated by Fitch.
In the agency's view, the credit quality of BCEAO is significantly higher than that of individual RMS. This assessment reflects the Country Ceiling for the UEMOA (BBB-), largely based on the monetary arrangements with France, and the privileged access of BCEAO to hard currency resources. The propensity of key shareholders to support BOAD is also strong, given the role of BOAD in the financing of RMS; this translates into a one notch uplift.
In Fitch's view, due to the concentration of the banking portfolio in the eight countries of UEMOA, BOAD's operating environment presents a number of risks. These countries are characterised by high poverty, weak business climate, low level of human development and, for some of them, political instability. Since 2011, three UEMOA countries went through civil wars or political coups.
BOAD's capitalisation and leverage measures are more favourable than peers, with an adjusted equity to asset ratio of 40% and a debt to equity ratio of 145.1% at end-2014. Projected growth in lending will lead to a decrease in capital adequacy measures and to higher leverage, as new loans will largely be funded by debt; however, the ongoing capital increase, launched in 2013 and spread until 2023, will help maintain the equity to adjusted assets ratio above 35% in the next three years.
Based on Fitch's estimates, the average rating of BOAD's loan portfolio is very low speculative grade and impaired loans accounted for 3.3% of portfolio at end-2014. Across the portfolio, 64% of loans are extended to or guaranteed by the eight UEMOA sovereigns, for which BOAD enjoys preferred creditor status; all UEMOA's countries have an account at BCEAO which ensures that, in case of stress on public finances, priority will be given to the repayment of BOAD's loans. As a result, BOAD has never suffered any default on its loans to UEMOA's sovereigns.
Liquidity risk is well-controlled; the access of the bank to the refinancing window of the BCEAO provides an additional buffer. As BOAD is not subject to bank supervision, it has put in place policies to reduce risk-taking; however, the limits set are not conservative overall compared with peers, especially in loan impairment recognition and provisioning. In addition, BOAD is exposed to the risk of a devaluation of the CFA franc against the euro, although in Fitch's view, this scenario is unlikely.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that the average rating of key shareholders will remain stable.
BOAD's ratings are driven by shareholder support. An upgrade could follow a significant improvement in the average credit quality of UEMOAcountries, leading to an improvement of BCEAO's capacity to support the bank.
While a reduction in the rating of individual RMS would not have a direct impact given their fairly low share in capital, a downgrade in the country ceiling of UEMOA would lead to a similar action on BOAD's ratings.
A devaluation of the CFA franc against the euro or any change in monetary agreements implying a lower support of France to UEMOA would lead to a downgrade of BOAD's ratings.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
The ratings and Outlooks are sensitive to a number of assumptions. In particular, Fitch assumes that the average sovereign rating of the seven non-publicly rated countries of the UEMOA is very low speculative grade. It also assumes that the French treasury will honour its commitment to provide liquidity to BCEAO and preserve the convertibility of the CFA franc into euro in the event of a depletion of its international assets.
BOAD's rating committee was held on 21 May 2015.
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