Fitch Rates Crown Point CLO III, Ltd./LLC
--\$200,600,000 class A-1a notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--\$50,000,000 class A-1b notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not rate the class A-2, B, C-1, C-2 or D notes or the subordinated notes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Crown Point CLO III, Ltd. (the issuer) and Crown Point CLO III, LLC (the co-issuer) together comprise an arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Valcour Capital Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will be used to purchase a portfolio of approximately \$400 million of primarily senior secured leveraged loans. The CLO will have an approximately 4.4-year reinvestment period and a 2.5-year noncall period.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Sufficient Credit Enhancement: Credit enhancement (CE) of 37.4% for the class A-1a and class A-1b (collectively, class A-1) notes, in addition to excess spread, is sufficient to protect against portfolio default and recovery rate projections in an 'AAAsf' stress scenario. The degree of CE available to the class A-1 notes is slightly higher than the average CE of recent CLO issuances, and cash flow modeling indicates performance in line with other 'AAAsf' CLO notes.
'B' Asset Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative portfolio is 'B', which is comparable to recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality. However, in Fitch's opinion, class A-1 notes are unlikely to be affected by the foreseeable level of defaults. Class A-1 notes are projected to be able to withstand default rates of up to 61.9%.
Strong Recovery Expectations: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.8% first-lien senior-secured loans. Approximately 91.1% of the indicative portfolio has either strong recovery prospects or a Fitch-assigned Recovery Rating of 'RR2' or higher, resulting in a base case recovery assumption of 76.4%. In determining the class A-1 note rating, Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for higher rating stress assumptions. The analysis of the class A-1 notes assumed a 35.7% recovery rate in Fitch's 'AAAsf' scenario.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Fitch evaluated the structure's sensitivity to the potential variability of key model assumptions, including decreases in recovery rates and increases in default rates or correlation. Fitch expects the class A-1 notes to remain investment grade, even under the most extreme sensitivity scenarios. Results under these sensitivity scenarios ranged between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for the class A-1 notes.
The sources of information used to assess these ratings were provided by the arranger, Natixis Securities Americas LLC, and the public domain.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described in the accompanying new issue report, which will be available shortly to investors on Fitch's website at 'www.fitchratings.com'.
For more information about Fitch's comprehensive subscription service FitchResearch, which includes all presale reports, surveillance and credit reports on more than 20 asset classes, contact product sales at +1-212-908-0800 or at 'webmaster@fitchratings.com'.
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