Fitch Revises ETAP's Outlook to Stable; Affirms at 'AA-(tun)'
ETAP is a wholly-state-owned company with the specific status of a business-oriented public entity, commonly known as an EPNA.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The rating action follows Fitch's revision of Tunisia's sovereign Outlook to Stable from Negative (see 'Fitch Revises Tunisia's Outlook to Stable; Affirms IDR at 'BB-'' dated 27 March 2015 at www.fitchratings.com).
Fitch applies its parent & subsidiary rating linkage methodology, notching ETAP down one notch from its parent, the Tunisian sovereign, due to tight legal, strategic and operational links between ETAP and its sole shareholder.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS:
Fitch's key assumptions within our rating case for the issuer include:
- Oil and gas prices in line with Fitch's base case price deck of USD 55/bbl for oil and USD6/mcf in 2015 and USD65/bbl and USD6/mcf in 2016.
- Capex includes maintenance capex and capex related to Nawara project spread over 2014-2016.
- No dividends.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Weakening links to the state or/and weaker state support would result in a downgrade of ETAP's ratings.
Triggers for a downgrade also include a significant deterioration in ETAP's credit metrics resulting from a lack of state support or financial pressure from the state.
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