Fitch Places RGP's Ratings on Positive Watch Following Merger Announcement; ETP/ETE Affirmed
The affirmation of ETP with a Stable Outlook is reflective of FItch's belief that the transaction provides ETP with significant benefits including increased size and scale, a robust platform for growth, increased geographic exposure to the Marcellus and Utica shale in particular, and the opportunity for a fair amount of what should be easily achievable synergies. For ETE the affirmation recognizes that ETE's consolidated credit profile does not materially change as a result of the merger but by consolidating RGP into ETP (a lower cost of capital entity) cash flows up to ETE should improve, driven by expected synergies and improved returns on growth projects previously planned at RGP. Additionally, ETE should benefit somewhat from a simplification of its organizational structure and slightly improved credit profile of its subsidiaries though it remains structurally subordinate to a significant amount of subsidiary debt.
Fitch expects no material impact to leverage at ETP as a result of the transaction. Prior to the transaction Fitch's expectations for leverage at ETP for 2015 and 2016 was a range of 4.0x to 4.5x, and ETE leverage (non-consolidated) of between 3.0x and 4.0x. Both companies, pro forma for the transaction, are expected by Fitch to remain within these ranges through 2015 - 2016.
For RGP the Positive Watch reflects that in being acquired and with its debt assumed by its higher rated affiliate, RGP's notes at closing should be rated at ETP's rating. Fitch would expect to resolve the Rating Watch at or near closing following Federal and unit-holder approvals.
RATING SENSITIVITIES:
Positive: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a positive rating action include:
ETP
--A material improvement in credit metrics with ETP adjusted leverage sustained at between 3.5x and 4.0x;
--A lessening of consolidated company business risk as ETP acquires and expands fixed-fee operations.
ETE
--Parent company debt-to-EBITDA maintained below 1.5x;
--Improving credit profile and ratings at subsidiaries.
Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action include:
ETP
--Weakening credit metrics with ETP adjusted leverage above 5.0x;
--Increasing commodity exposure.
ETE
--Increasing parent company leverage above 4.5x;
--Weakening credit profiles at ETP and RGP.
The following ratings have been affirmed by Fitch with a Stable Outlook:
Energy Transfer Equity, L.P.
-- Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB';
--Secured senior notes at BB+';
--Secured term loan at 'BB+';
--Secured revolving credit facility at 'BB+'.
Energy Transfer Partners, L.P.
-- IDR at 'BBB-';
--Senior unsecured debt at 'BBB-';
--Junior subordinated debt at 'BB'.
RGP's ratings have been placed on Rating Watch Positive. Fitch currently rates RGP as follows:
--Long-term IDR 'BB';
--Senior secured revolver 'BB+';
--Senior unsecured notes 'BB';
--Series A preferred units 'B+'.
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