Fitch Affirms Kentucky Higher Education Student Loan Corp. Senior Series 2014A
--A2016 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2017 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2018 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2019 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2020 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2021 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2022 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2023 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2024 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2026 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2028 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--A2031 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Adequate Collateral Quality: The senior series 2014A master trust is a mixed trust collateralized by consolidation loans (17.9%) originated under the Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) and fixed-rate private student loans (82.1%). The FFELP loans includes approximately 40.2% of rehabilitated (rehab) loans, with guarantees provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the U.S. Department of Education (ED) for at least 97% of principal and accrued interest. The current U.S. sovereign rating is 'AAA' with a Stable Outlook. The projected lifetime defaults for the private student loans are expected to be approximately 15%-17%.
Sufficient Credit Enhancement (CE): CE is provided by overcollateralization (OC; the excess of trust's asset balance over bond balance) and excess spread. As of January 2016, total parity was 141.63% (29.39% CE). Cash can be released to the issuer when the total parity reaches 140%.
Adequate Liquidity Support: Liquidity support for the senior series 2014A notes is provided by a debt service reserve account (sized at the greater of 3% of the bond balance and \\$500,000) and a \\$404,196 loan reserve fund.
Acceptable Servicing Capabilities: KHESLC is servicing the entire senior series 2014A portfolio. Fitch believes KHESLC is an acceptable servicer for the portfolio.
On Nov. 18, 2015, Fitch released an exposure draft that delineates revisions it plans to make to the 'Rating U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Student Loan ABS Criteria', dated June 23, 2014.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Since the FFELP student loan ABS relies on the U.S. government to reimburse defaults, 'AAAsf' FFELP ABS ratings will likely move in tandem with the 'AAA' U.S. sovereign rating. Aside from the U.S. sovereign rating, defaults, basis risk, and loan extension risk account for the majority of the risk embedded in FFELP student loan transactions. Additional defaults, basis shock beyond Fitch's published stresses, lower than expected payment speed, and other factors could result in future downgrades. Likewise, a build-up of CE driven by positive excess spread given favorable basis factor conditions could lead to future upgrades.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third-party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
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