Fitch APAC Sovereigns Chart: Remittances Still Going Strong in Asia
OREANDA-NEWS. Workers' remittance remains a vital source of hard currency for many Asian emerging economies, Fitch Ratings says. Remittance inflows from workers abroad have continued to be strong in Asia, while dropping significantly in some other regions.
Remittance inflows in the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Vietnam are particularly strong relative to the size of their economies. The growth of remittance inflows is slowing in some of these countries, but the absolute amount remains large and significant.
Slowing growth and capital spending among oil producers in the Middle East may reduce employment opportunities for foreign workers from Asian countries, for instance in construction. The risk of lower demand for foreign workers in the Middle East is significant, but has, so far, hardly materialised in those Asian countries dependent on remittances from that region.
Remittances as a relatively stable source of foreign-currency receipts generally strengthens the external balances of the receiving country. At the same time, countries whose external accounts depend on remittance inflows would be vulnerable if this source of foreign currency were disrupted. This is especially true if coupled with a high level of worker concentration in certain countries. In this light, Fitch believes Sri Lanka is especially vulnerable to such disruptions, while Pakistan and Bangladesh are also relatively exposed.
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