S&P: Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc.'s 10-Year Unsecured Notes Assigned 'BBB+' Rating
DPS benefits from strong and stable profit margins, above-average volume growth in several brands across its carbonated and noncarbonated portfolios, and ongoing productivity gains, which should allow for continued above-average industry EBITDA growth. The company also has very defendable market positions given the strength of its core and difficult-to-replicate Dr Pepper brand, the customer loyalty across many of its flavored carbonated drinks (including the fast-growing Penafiel brand in Mexico), and its strong brands in noncarbonated drinks (including Snapple and the Fiji and Bai5 water brands). We expect the company will continue to generate strong free cash flow, well in excess of $750 million annually, given its modest capital expenditures budget, which we expect it will use primarily to fund its annual dividend of about $300 million-$350 million and an additional annual share repurchases of at least $600 million. This will lead to negative discretionary cash flow but is not likely to materially weaken the company's debt to EBITDA, which we project will moderately weaken by just under a half-turn to just over 2x over the next several years.
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