Fitch: UK Property Sector May Face Long-Term Brexit Pressure
Uncertainty over the form and timing of Brexit will weigh on confidence for property purchasing and leasing. The ability of London's economy to remain strong in the long term will be a key factor in vacancy rates and the renewal of long-term lease agreements.
The recent gating of several property funds could lead to the sale of some property holdings and suspend a source of demand, which could lower values and increase LTV ratios. Early indications are that sellers will not lower values too readily, but the key test will be whether debt providers will be willing to refinance loan facilities and on what terms.
UK property values are highly cyclical, with UK residential properties historically having long periods of value growth, followed by shorter corrections. Big reversions in house prices in the UK have generally occurred after major economic events or interventions. The current market situation, however, is different from that during the global financial crisis due to the strong availability of liquidity.
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