Fitch Rates Monroe Capital MML CLO 2016-1, Ltd./LLC
--$158,000,000 class A-1 notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$10,000,000 class A-2 notes 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$30,750,000 class B notes 'AAsf'; Outlook Stable;
--$18,000,000 class C notes 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--$20,250,000 class D-1 notes 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
--$3,000,000 class D-2 notes 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not rate the class E notes or the subordinated notes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Monroe Capital MML CLO 2016-1, Ltd. and Monroe Capital MML CLO 2016-1, LLC comprise a middle-market (MM) collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Monroe Capital Management LLC (Monroe Capital). Net proceeds from the issuance of notes will be used to purchase a portfolio of approximately $300 million of primarily MM loans. The CLO will have an approximately four-year reinvestment period and two-year noncall period.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Sufficient Credit Enhancement: Credit enhancement (CE) available to the notes, in addition to excess spread, is sufficient to protect against portfolio default and recovery rate projections in the respective rating stress scenarios. The degree of CE available to each class of notes is in line with the average CE of notes at the same rating level in Fitch-rated MM CLO issuances over the last year.
'B/B-' Asset Quality: Fitch expects the credit quality of the underlying obligors to primarily fall in the 'B/B-' range. Fitch's base case analysis centered on a portfolio with a Fitch weighted average rating factor (WARF) of 42, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point. The analysis on such portfolio, in addition to analysis on the other permitted matrix points, indicated each class of Fitch-rated notes is projected to be sufficiently robust against projected default rates in line with its applicable rating stress.
Strong Recovery Expectations: The transaction requires a minimum of 95% of the portfolio to consist of first-lien senior secured loans, cash, and eligible investments while portfolio management is governed in part by a Fitch weighted average recovery rate (WARR) test. In Fitch's base case analysis, the agency adjusted the WARR of the portfolio to reach the base case minimum trigger of 77% and further reduced recovery assumptions for higher rating stress scenarios. The base case analysis of class A-1 and A-2 (collectively, class A) notes, class B notes, class C notes, and class D-1 and D-2 (collectively, class D) notes assumed recovery rates of 38.8%, 47.5%, 51.9%, and 59.2% in each class's respective rating scenario.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Fitch evaluated the structure's sensitivity to the potential variability of key model assumptions, including decreases in recovery rates and increases in default rates or correlation. Fitch expects the class A and B notes to remain investment grade, while class C and D notes are expected to remain within seven rating levels of their assigned ratings, even under the most extreme sensitivity scenarios. Results under these sensitivity scenarios ranged between 'AA-sf' and 'AAAsf' for the class A notes, between 'BBBsf' and 'AAAsf' for the class B notes, between 'BB+sf' and A+sf' for the class C notes and between 'CCCsf' and BBB+sf' for the class D notes.
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