OREANDA-NEWS. S&P Global Ratings said today that it has affirmed its 'BBB-/A-3' long- and short-term issuer credit ratings on Kazakh government holding company Samruk-Kazyna (SK). The outlook is negative.

At the same time, we affirmed our 'kzAA' Kazakhstan national scale rating on SK, and our 'BBB-' rating on SK's senior unsecured debt.

The ratings on SK reflect our classification of the company as a government- related entity (GRE) with an almost certain likelihood of receiving timely and sufficient extraordinary support from the government of Kazakhstan in the event of financial difficulties. In accordance with our criteria for rating GREs, this assessment stems from our view that SK has an:

- Integral link with the government, which fully owns the company. SK has a  special public status of a national management holding company. We believe  the government is unlikely to reduce its stake in or control of SK at least  until after 2018. This is despite privatization plans regarding some  subsidiaries controlled by SK, which the government announced in 2015.  Kazakhstan's prime minister heads SK's board and the government is closely  involved in determining SK's strategic decisions; and;

- Critical role as the government's main vehicle for implementing its agenda for  strategic industrialization and long-term economic sustainability and  diversification. SK controls essentially all strategic corporate assets in  Kazakhstan, worth an equivalent of more than 40% of GDP, including those  in the oil and gas sector. SK also plays a quasi-fiscal role of retransferring  funds from the national oil fund to the economy. SK's strategic role is set  out in several key government strategic documents and policy statements.

SK has been implementing key national policies since it was established by a presidential decree in 2008. It consolidates almost all of Kazakhstan's state- owned corporate assets, including those in such key sectors as oil and gas, power generation, transport, and mining, and manages them on behalf of the government, playing a central role in meeting key economic, political, and social objectives.

By law, all SK's board members are heads of central executive bodies, and Kazakhstan's prime minister is the chairman. Through regular board meetings, the government plays a decisive role in SK's operations. SK, as the holding company, must be 100% owned by the government by law. Although in 2015 the government announced plans to privatize some of SK's assets, including those in the energy, mining, and transport sectors, to attract foreign direct investment and stimulate economic growth, the timing and scope of privatization are uncertain. Our base-case assumption is that the government and SK will retain control over key assets over the next two to three years and will only present more concrete proposals regarding privatization by 2018.
The negative outlook on SK mirrors that on the long-term sovereign credit ratings on Kazakhstan.