SGX: Regional Volatility Accessed Through Structured Warrants
OREANDA-NEWS. Sophisticated investors can attempt to trade or hedge the big regional moves through structured warrants. Hang Seng Index (HSI) structured warrants provide a means to gain exposure to the regions’ volatility. The HSI and MSCI AC Asia Index currently maintain a correlation coefficient of 0.82, where 1.00 represents full correlation and 0.00 represents no correlation.
The 100 day historical volatility of the HSI has remained near 23% in April as well as the first seven sessions of May. This has compared to the MSCI AC Asia Index 100 day historical volatility remaining near 21%. Given the past statistical relationship of the HSI and MSCI AC Asia Index, HSI structured warrants have recently provided a means for sophisticated investors to increase their exposure to the regional moves and regional volatility.
In the first six sessions of May, HSI Structured Warrants had seen total trade value of S$121.6 million, with S$69.4 million in Call warrants and S$52.2 million in Put Warrants, representing 78% of the total trade value in the month thus far. Put-to-call ratio in the month-to-date has increased to 0.88 from 0.78 in April, indicating that investors are trading more Put than Call warrants.
By comparison the 100 day historical volatility measure for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) has been closer to 30%, while the volatility for the Straits Times Index (STI) and FTSE ST China top Index have remained below that of the HSI, near 18%. Over the past three months, the FTSE ST China Top Index has generated a total return of 11.7% and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) has gained 9.7% over the past three months, in Singapore Dollar terms.
As noted in the Market Update Recent Highlights of Singapore's FTSE ST China Top Index the ten biggest constituent weights of the FTSE ST China Top Index make up just over 80% of the total Index weights. Three of these stocks, Wilmar International, Global Logistics Properties and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings have seen trading activity in structured warrants in the month to date. The three stocks together almost make up a third of the Index weights of the FTSE ST China Top Index and have seen total trade value of S$1.5 million in May thus far.
The most active structured warrants that track the HSI, HSCEI and trio of stocks that help make up the FTSE ST China Top Index are tabled below.
Top 10 Most Active HSI Warrants in April and May month-to-date
Counter Name |
Stock Code |
Call/Put |
Expiry Date |
Strike Level |
Apr 2016 Trade Value (S$) |
HSI 20800 UB ECW160629 |
BPRW |
C |
29-Jun-16 |
20800 |
68,975,534 |
HSI 21400 MB ECW160530 |
BRPW |
C |
30-May-16 |
21400 |
50,417,862 |
HSI 21000 MB ECW160428 |
BRGW |
C |
28-Apr-16 |
21000 |
27,463,505 |
HSI 20600 MB ECW160530 |
BROW |
C |
30-May-16 |
20600 |
21,296,381 |
HSI 20200 MB ECW160428 |
BQJW |
C |
28-Apr-16 |
20200 |
11,491,988 |
Total Trade Value in HSI Call Warrants |
179,645,270 |
||||
HSI 20000 MB EPW160629 |
BOCW |
P |
29-Jun-16 |
20000 |
44,992,211 |
HSI 20000 MB EPW160530 |
BRMW |
P |
30-May-16 |
20000 |
31,594,683 |
HSI 20600 MB EPW160428 |
BOBW |
P |
28-Apr-16 |
20600 |
26,279,244 |
HSI 21000 MB EPW160530 |
BSJW |
P |
30-May-16 |
21000 |
21,531,659 |
HSI 19600 MB EPW160428 |
BRFW |
P |
28-Apr-16 |
19600 |
16,262,003 |
Total Trade Value in HSI Put Warrants |
140,659,800 |
||||
Put-to-Call Ratio |
0.78 |
Counter Name |
Stock Code |
Call/Put |
Expiry Date |
Strike Level |
May 2016 MTD Trade Value (S$) |
HSI 20600 MB ECW160530 |
BROW |
C |
30-May-16 |
20600 |
16,701,497 |
HSI 21200 UB ECW160929 |
BSNW |
C |
29-Sep-16 |
21200 |
14,437,406 |
HSI 22400 UB ECW161028 |
BSOW |
C |
28-Oct-16 |
22400 |
7,487,683 |
HSI 21000 MB ECW160629 |
BSXW |
C |
29-Jun-16 |
21000 |
7,236,405 |
HSI 20800 UB ECW160629 |
BPRW |
C |
29-Jun-16 |
20800 |
7,127,514 |
Total Trade Value in HSI Call Warrants |
52,990,504 |
||||
HSI 20000 MB EPW160530 |
BRMW |
P |
30-May-16 |
20000 |
17,201,958 |
HSI 20000 MB EPW160629 |
BOCW |
P |
29-Jun-16 |
20000 |
15,459,516 |
HSI 21000 MB EPW160530 |
BSJW |
P |
30-May-16 |
21000 |
5,922,782 |
HSI 21400 MB EPW160629 |
BSZW |
P |
29-Jun-16 |
21400 |
4,513,991 |
HSI 19200 MB EPW160530 |
BRNW |
P |
30-May-16 |
19200 |
3,578,464 |
Total Trade Value in HSI Put Warrants |
46,676,710 |
||||
Put-to-Call Ratio |
0.88 |
Top 10 Most Active HSCEI Warrants in April and May month-to-date
Counter Name |
Stock Code |
Call/Put |
Expiry Date |
Strike Level |
Apr 2016 Trade Value (S$) |
HSCEI 10500 UB ECW160629 |
BMSW |
C |
29-Jun-16 |
10500 |
2,877,453 |
HSCEI 9400 UB ECW160929 |
BSRW |
C |
29-Sep-16 |
9400 |
2,052,854 |
HSCEI 10800 UB ECW161229 |
BSTW |
C |
29-Dec-16 |
10800 |
946,244 |
HSCEI 10000 UB ECW160929 |
BSSW |
C |
29-Sep-16 |
10000 |
324,424 |
Grand Total |
6,200,975 |
Counter Name |
Stock Code |
Call/Put |
Expiry Date |
Strike Level |
May 2016 MTD Trade Value (S$) |
HSCEI 9400 UB ECW160929 |
BSRW |
C |
29-Sep-16 |
9400 |
5,629,666 |
HSCEI 10800 UB ECW161229 |
BSTW |
C |
29-Dec-16 |
10800 |
2,695,729 |
HSCEI 10000 UB ECW160929 |
BSSW |
C |
29-Sep-16 |
10000 |
2,055,762 |
HSCEI 8400 UB ECW160629 |
BPNW |
C |
29-Jun-16 |
8400 |
2,825,842 |
Grand Total |
13,206,998 |
Structured Warrants on Yangzijiang, Global Logistic Properties and Wilmar International
Counter Name |
Stock Code |
Call/Put |
Expiry Date |
Strike Level |
May 2016 MTD Trade Value (S$) |
Wilmar |
836,572 |
||||
WILMAR MB ECW161003 |
BDZW |
C |
3-Oct-16 |
3.2 |
468,005 |
WILMAR MB ECW161201 |
BLEW |
C |
1-Dec-16 |
3.3 |
224,994 |
WILMAR MB EPW161201 |
BLDW |
P |
1-Dec-16 |
3 |
143,573 |
Global Logistic Properties |
590,349 |
||||
GLOBALLOGISTICPROPMBECW170123 |
BQHW |
C |
23-Jan-17 |
1.8 |
202,640 |
GLOBALLOGISTICPROPMBECW161212 |
BNVW |
C |
12-Dec-16 |
2.25 |
111,151 |
GLOBALLOGISTICPROPMBEPW161212 |
BNWW |
P |
12-Dec-16 |
2 |
260,183 |
GLOBALLOGISTICPROPMBEPW160627 |
BDQW |
P |
27-Jun-16 |
2.2 |
16,375 |
Yangzijiang |
49,541 |
||||
YANGZIJIANG MB ECW161206 |
BNFW |
C |
6-Dec-16 |
1 |
43,556 |
YANGZIJIANG MB ECW161201 |
BLVW |
C |
1-Dec-16 |
1.2 |
5,985 |
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