Fitch: China Rebalancing, Yuan Volatility Key Risks for APAC
Chinese policy-makers also have to decide the pace at which they introduce structural reforms, while managing the pace of the growth slowdown, Fitch says in the report.
A sharper devaluation of the Chinese yuan could trigger significant financial volatility, both in APAC and globally, according to an alternative scenario to Fitch's base case. A weakening Chinese economy, uncertainties over economic strategy, and a loss of investor confidence could lead to higher-than-expected net capital outflows from China. The resultant downward pressure on the yuan has the potential to trigger further market instability beyond the Chinese border. The above development is unlikely, though investor sentiment can turn very quickly, Fitch says in the report.
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