Fitch Upgrades 2 Classes of MSCI 2006-TOP23 Chicago
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The upgrade to class A-J reflects the significant paydown since Fitch's last review (roughly \\$900 million) and the amount of defeased collateral (30.1% of the pool) that is maturing in July 2016. The upgrade to class B reflects the increase in credit enhancement as a result of the paydown. The affirmations to the classes below investment grade are due to the concentrated nature of the pool and the potential for additional maturity defaults. Of the 33 remaining loans, 15.4% matured in June 2016 and are still performing, while an additional 35.4% mature in July 2016. Fitch modeled losses of 22.7% of the remaining pool; expected losses on the original pool balance total 5.1%, including \\$28.9 million (1.8% of the original pool balance) in realized losses to date. Fitch has designated eight loans (40.1%) as Fitch Loans of Concern, which includes four specially serviced assets (14.7%).
As of the June 2016 distribution date, the pool's aggregate principal balance has been reduced by 85.5% to \\$234.1 million from \\$1.61 billion at issuance. Per the servicer reporting, four loans (30.1% of the pool) are defeased. Interest shortfalls are currently affecting classes G through P.
The largest contributor to expected losses is secured by a 155,012 square foot (sf) mixed-use (office and retail) property (6.6% of the pool) located in Savannah, GA. The loan transferred to the special servicer in July 2013 due to a payment default. Foreclosure occurred in May 2014 and the property subsequently became real estate owned (REO). The servicer has addressed some deferred maintenance issues and continues to increase occupancy, which was 52% according to the April 2016 rent roll. The disposition timing is still being determined.
The next largest contributor to expected losses is the 150 Hillside Avenue loan (9.1%), which is secured by a 128,818 sf office building located in White Plains, NY. The two largest tenants at the property occupy 95.7% of the total net rentable area (NRA). The largest tenant, The Dannon Company, occupies 57% of the NRA with their lease expiring in September 2017. The loan matures in June 2036, but has an ARD date in June 2018. Fitch applied a conservative analysis to this loan due to the lease rollover risk in 2017 and the interest rate increase scheduled for June 2018 should the loan fail to refinance. According to the October 2015 rent roll, the property is 100% occupied. The servicer reported DSCR for YE 2015 was reported to be 1.55x.
The third largest contributor to expected losses is also specially serviced and is secured by a portfolio of industrial properties (3.2%) located in IL. The loan transferred to the special servicer January 2013 due to the borrower's failure to remit the November 2012 payment. One of the four properties was sold in June 2013 and with the net proceeds applied to the loan. Foreclosure occurred on the remaining three properties in November 2014. Another property was sold by the special servicer in April 2016. The servicer is now attempting to the sell the two remaining properties, one of which is under contract and the other is being held as lease renewal negotiations are ongoing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Outlooks on classes A-J, B and D remain Stable due to increasing credit enhancement. The Outlook on class C has been revised to Positive from Stable to reflect the expected paydown from loans maturing in July 2016 (35.4%). Due to the concentrated nature of the pool and the potential for increased losses from maturing loans, Fitch applied a conservative analysis to the pool. As such, additional upgrades may be warranted if the bulk of maturing loans pay in full. The distressed class E through K notes are susceptible to further downgrades as losses are realized.
DUE DILIGENCE USAGE
No third party due diligence was provided or reviewed in relation to this rating action.
Fitch upgrades the following classes:
--\\$102.2 million class A-J to 'AAAsf' from 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--\\$32.3 million class B to 'Asf' from 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch affirms the following classes and revises Rating Outlooks and REs as indicated:
--\\$16.1 million class C at 'BBsf'; Outlook to Positive from Stable;
--\\$14.1 million class E at 'CCCsf'; RE 75%;
--\\$12.1 million class F at 'CCCsf'; RE 0%.
Fitch affirms the following classes:
--\\$26.2 million class D at 'Bsf'; Outlook Stable;
--\\$14.1 million class G at 'CCsf'; RE 0%;
--\\$10.1 million class H at 'Csf'; RE 0%;
--\\$4 million class J at 'Csf'; RE 0%;
--\\$2.8 million class K at 'Dsf'; RE 0%;
--\\$0 class L at 'Dsf'; RE 0%;
--\\$0 class M at 'Dsf'; RE 0%;
--\\$0 class N at 'Dsf'; RE 0%;
--\\$0 class O at 'Dsf'; RE 0%.
The class A-1, A-2, A-3, A-AB, A-4 and A-M certificates have paid in full. Fitch does not rate the class P certificates. Fitch previously withdrew the rating on the interest-only class X certificates.
This news release contains forward-looking statements. Company has identified some of these forward-looking statements with words such as "anticipates," "believes," "expects," "estimates," "is likely," "predicts," "projects," "forecasts," "objectives," "may," "will," "should," "plans" and "intends" and the negative of these words or other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include statements relating to status of the separation process, the plan to pursue an IPO of up to 20 percent of the common stock of Company and the expected completion of the separation through the subsequent distribution of Company common stock, the anticipated timing of completion of the planned IPO and subsequent distribution of the remaining Company common stock, the plan to reorganize under a new public holding company to be called Company Global Holdings Inc. and Company's and Company's ability to pursue their long-term strategies. In addition, Company may from time to time make forward-looking statements in its annual report, quarterly reports and other filings with the SEC, news releases and other written and oral communications. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's expectations and assumptions, as of the date such statements are made, regarding Company's future operating performance and financial condition, including the proposed separation of its specialty chemicals and Company businesses, the proposed IPO of its Company business, the expected timetable for completing the IPO and the separation, the proposal to reorganize under a new holding company, the future financial and operating performance of each company, strategic and competitive advantages of each company, the leadership of each company, and future opportunities for each company, as well as the economy and other future events or circumstances.
Комментарии